Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? Odds fell to 34% on Sep 12, 2026
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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? On , the market’s odds fell from 58¢ to 34¢ (-24 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Kan Reporter.
How did the odds move?
58¢
61¢
52.5¢
34¢
-24 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
NeutralKan Reporter94%match
On Monday, Gulf states are scheduled to meet with Iran in Oman to find a solution to the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. However, Bahrain has announced that it will not attend or take part in any meeting in which Iran participates.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 48% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES48¢
NO53¢
$548K
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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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