Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? Odds fell to 34% on Sep 13, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? On , the market’s odds fell from 49¢ to 33.5¢ (-15.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from israelnews23. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match49¢
+5m48.5¢
+30m49.5¢
+1h33.5¢
+24h22.5¢
1h move-15.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesisraelnews2395%match
Iran and Oman will present the agreements they have drawn up concerning navigation in the Strait of Hormuz to the Persian Gulf countries - without the presence of Bahrain, which is boycotting a meeting with Iran.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$829K

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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.