Iran-Oman Hormuz Management AgreementAugust 31
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The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
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48 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Iranian President: We have reached an agreement with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the transit route through the Strait of Hormuz, and if Washington fulfills its commitments, we will open the strait. #Breaking #Iran #Here_is_the_Kingdom
Iran: President Masoud Pezeshkian: The Omani side agrees to manage the Strait of Hormuz according to the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.
Iran, Oman hammer out Hormuz revenue-sharing deal
Iran and Oman Agree on Temporary Route to Hormuz
Live: All we know about Iran, Oman agreement on temporary Hormuz
Iran and Oman have agreed to share revenues from shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
Tehran announces agreement with Muscat on the Strait of Hormuz #SkyOnline 84%-O ...
"During these negotiations, agreements were reached regarding each party's participation in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz, as well as the distribution of revenue between Iran and Oman," he stated. #Hormuz #teleSUR
A senior Iranian source told Reuters that the agreement between the Islamic Republic and Oman on the Strait of Hormuz has not yet been finalized and the two countries are still working on the details of the agreement.
A high-level Iranian source told Reuters: No final agreement has been reached with the Sultanate of Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz.
An agreement between Iran and Oman over the Strait of Hormuz has not yet been finalised, a senior Iranian source told Reuters, adding that both countries were still working on details of an agreement.
Agreement between Iran and Oman on Hormuz not yet finalized, senior Iranian source says
A senior Iranian source told Reuters: An agreement with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz has not yet been finalized.
IRAN-OMAN AGREEMENT ON STRAIT OF HORMUZ NOT YET FINALISED, SENIOR IRANIAN SOURCE SAYS • • The two sides are still working on details, the source tells Reuters. • • Trump said yesterday that the US Navy has cleared all mines from international waters in the strait, and that Iran was notified any vessel placing new mines would be destroyed. The strait carries roughly a fifth of the world's seaborne oil.
An Iranian source told Reuters that no final agreement has been reached with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz.
SENIOR IRANIAN SOURCE TO REUTERS: AN AGREEMENT WITH OMAN OVER THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ HAS NOT YET BEEN FINALISED
Live: Iran, Oman agree on share of Hormuz and revenues: IRGC
Live: Iran says agreement on future routes through Strait of Hormuz reached with Oman
Live: Iran said it has reached an agreement with Oman over a plan for ships to transit the Strait of Hormuz, which runs between the countries, and the sides are now w
As 60-day MOU deadline expires, Iran says it has reached a deal with Oman on Hormuz
Live: Iran says it has reached a Strait of Hormuz agreement with Oman
Baqaei: Iran and Oman are finalizing the understanding package on the Strait of Hormuz / The complexity of the issue and the interventions of the actors have taken time for the understanding process between Iran and Oman The Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, in response to a question regarding the discussion of the Strait of Hormuz and the negotiations that are underway between Iran and Oman, said that these negotiations will probably come to a conclusion soon. You also announced the drafting of, in fact, a roadmap between the two countries and said that work is being done on a joint statement. I want to see if there is an obstacle to the discussion of the joint statement that has taken so long so far? "He said: I did not say the roadmap; I said the map, yes, the traffic route map. There has been an understanding regarding the traffic route map, but we were supposed to and are supposed to finalize the understanding in the form of a package; The map plus the joint statement. The question is often asked why this process has taken so long and when it will finally come to fruition. I will present to you three major factors why this process continues. One, because of the complexity of the issue. Keep in mind that the insecurity of the Strait of Hormuz was imposed on us, on the region, and on the entire world. The reason for this was the illegal military action of the United States and the Zionist regime. The issue is very complex. For the first time, you want to develop a mechanism that will both ensure the sovereignty and sovereign rights of the two coastal states and provide safe passage for commercial ships in this waterway. Another point is the multiplicity of actors trying to influence this process, and perhaps more importantly, the efforts of some malicious parties who have shown that they never value peace and security in the region and basically want our region to always be in a state of conflict and chaos. These three factors have made this process take some time. But if you consider all of this, considering that the origin of this story began in Esfand 1404, what very eventful days we have gone through; the epic defense of the Iranians of their national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and then the process that led to 28 Khordad, and the Khordad understanding was supposed to be a start to reducing tensions. Unfortunately, the US broke the agreement there too, just 20 days after the implementation of the memorandum of understanding began. But I would like to inform you that the talks between Iran and Oman are continuing in earnest. Views are being exchanged on the text of the joint statement, and both sides have so far shown that they are determined to develop a mechanism that meets the interests and concerns of both sides and at the same time meets the considerations related to international shipping. @IRNA_1313
In continuation of diplomatic efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and resume normal ship traffic, the spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that Tehran and Muscat have reached an agreement on a shipping plan in this waterway. More details with Marzieh Hosseini, Iran International correspondent
Iran and Oman reach agreement on shipping map for Strait of Hormuz - media
The spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Foreign Ministry said that Iran and Oman have reached an agreement on a shipping traffic plan in the Strait of Hormuz after months of negotiations. At the same time, Al-Hurra Network reported that Oman is seeking to create a multilateral model for managing the Strait of Hormuz; a model that would prevent the Islamic Republic from unilaterally controlling this waterway. Reported by Amir Giti, Iran International correspondent
Complete stalemate as the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the US expires... and Tehran announces a maritime agreement with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz
Al-Hurra Network reported that Oman is trying to maintain and consolidate its position as a mediator between the Islamic Republic and the United States, while trying to achieve a direct role in the Strait of Hormuz.
Meanwhile, the spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Foreign Ministry announced that Iran and Oman have reached an agreement on a shipping traffic plan in the Strait of Hormuz after several months of negotiations. Interview with Troske Sadeghi, Iran International correspondent
Live: Iran says route through Hormuz agreed with Oman, but deal yet to be finalised
Iran's Foreign Ministry announces an agreement with Oman on a maritime navigation map for the Strait of Hormuz.
Iranian Foreign Ministry: We have reached an agreement with Oman regarding the maritime navigation map for the Strait of Hormuz.
Iranian media, quoting a Foreign Ministry spokesperson: We have reached an agreement on a navigation map between Iran and Oman.
#Iran announces agreement with #Oman on "navigation map in the #Strait_of_Hormuz"
#Sky_Online
#America
Iranian Foreign Ministry: An agreement has been reached with the Sultanate of Oman regarding a navigation map for the Strait of Hormuz.
Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Agreement reached on shipping traffic plan in the Strait of Hormuz Negotiations have been moving forward in the last three weeks Talks are ongoing on the joint statement to be issued by Iran and Oman The understanding between Iran and Oman is an independent understanding, but the normal traffic of commercial vessels is a matter that is subject to the end of illegal actions, interventions, threats and naval blockade by the United States
Iranian Foreign Ministry: An agreement has been reached with the Sultanate of Oman regarding a navigation map for the Strait of Hormuz.
Iranian Foreign Ministry: We have reached an agreement with Oman regarding the maritime navigation map for the Strait of Hormuz.
Esmaeil Baghaei, spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Tehran and Muscat have reached an agreement in the last three weeks to determine a safe shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran says it has reached an agreement with Oman on a passage plan for the Strait of Hormuz.
Baqaei: Agreement reached on shipping traffic map in the Strait of Hormuz Spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Despite US obstruction, talks between Iran and Oman have been moving forward and are positive, and an agreement has been reached on the shipping traffic map. This measure is the result of collective interagency cooperation centered on the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the active participation of the country's defense, security, and environmental sectors. mehrnews.com @Mehrnews
Iran: We reached an agreement with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz navigation ban @InbarYuval
Begaei: Agreement has been reached on a shipping traffic map in the Strait of Hormuz The Foreign Ministry spokesperson said in an interview with Defense Press: Despite American obstruction, the talks between Iran and Oman have been moving forward and are positive, and an agreement has been reached on a shipping traffic map. This action was the result of a collective interagency cooperation centered on the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the active participation of the country's defense, security, and environmental sectors. @Defapress_ir [in reply to: Begaei: America is the cause of insecurity in the Strait of Hormuz The spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in an interview with Defapress: All countries are aware of the fact that until March 29, 1404, traffic in the Strait of Hormuz was flowing without any problems, but the abuse of this waterway and its southern banks by the United States and the Zionist regime to plan an attack on Iran made the situation insecure. Iran, as a coastal state of the Strait of Hormuz, has the right, according to international law, to take the necessary measures to protect its interests and national security. Currently, due to the continuation of maritime sanctions, threats and military movements of the United States, it is not possible to speak of establishing complete security and safety in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran and Oman, as two coastal states, began intensive negotiations about three months ago (simultaneously with the signing of the Memorandum of Understanding on June 18) to determine a safe shipping route. @Defapress_ir]
"Iran and Oman reach final agreement on traffic map for the Strait of Hormuz"... A look at international headlines
@mohammedsoleymn
"Iran" is not opening the strait for now; the signing of an agreement with "Oman" _with the details desired by the US_ was also prevented.
Iran's proposed model for crossing the strait (north of the strait _Iran's route_ and south of the strait _Oman's route_) was supposed to be tested for 30 days and become permanent if the US was flexible in the areas of "sanctions" and "liberating Iran's resources," but due to America's stubbornness, everything has been stopped for now.
The next two weeks are very sensitive!
What are the features of the Iranian-Omani agreement regarding passage through the Strait of Hormuz?
#Latest
OIL SURGES 5% AS HORMUZ DEAL HOPES FADE • • Oil jumped 5% Monday as escalating U.S.-Iran compensation demands reduced expectations for a near-term reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. • • Brent settled at $87.72, while WTI reached $82.13, reversing part of last week’s 7%+ decline. • • Iran says Washington must meet several conditions before Hormuz fully reopens, reinforcing concerns that constrained oil flows could persist longer than markets anticipated.
Iranian government officials, while announcing progress in negotiations between Iran and Oman on determining the route of ships through the Strait of Hormuz, on Saturday, August 8, put forward new and extensive conditions for the opening of the waterway. Mohammad Baqir Zolqadr, Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, said on Saturday that the Strait of Hormuz will not be opened until the United States, as he put it, "corrects its behavior," and emphasized that the council will not back down from this position "whether in war or in negotiations." He put forward six conditions for the opening of the strait, including an end to the war and US attacks on Iran and the Islamic Republic's allies in Lebanon, Palestine, Yemen, and Iraq, the lifting of the naval blockade, the withdrawal of US military forces from around Iran, the full payment of war damages, the lifting of sanctions, and the release of Iran's frozen assets. Zolghadr also called for an end to US threats against Iran. Hours earlier, the Revolutionary Guards spokesman had announced that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz was essentially “not related to the Iran-Oman talks” and would only happen if the US fully accepted “Iran’s conditions.” @VahidHeadline How are the conditions of Iran’s National Security Council different from the memorandum of understanding with the US? The publication of Iran’s six conditions for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz further clouded the prospects for the strait’s reopening in the short term. Mohammad Baqer Zolghadr, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, said that the council “will never back down” in either war or negotiation. Iran’s Supreme National Security Council has used more explicit language compared to the memorandum of understanding with the US. In a quick comparison with the memorandum of understanding, Iran this time explicitly demanded “full and unconditional” payment. "The damages of the two wars" has become a topic that was not mentioned in the text of the memorandum of understanding. The US's acceptance is almost impossible because it places that country in the position of an "aggressor" and is interpreted as "defeat" in political language. At the same time, paying compensation has other legal consequences as the initiator of the war and also illegal international actions. This is while Donald Trump had said that he would collect the damages of the Iranian attacks from Iran's frozen funds. This US position is practically a negation of Iran's sixth condition for the release of all its assets. Although Iran's second condition remains the same as the first paragraph of the memorandum of understanding, with a fundamental difference. The memorandum of understanding between the two countries only mentioned the permanent end of hostilities in Iran and Lebanon. This time, however, the Islamic Republic has also demanded a permanent end to the war in "Palestine, Yemen, and Iraq." It seems that Iran's six conditions are not a matter of negotiation, but rather the country's position. Previously, although Iranian officials had announced that the agreement with Oman did not mean the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, the president and officials from the Foreign Ministry had made this issue partly conditional on the US returning to the memorandum of understanding and committing not to violate it. Now, it seems that the Supreme National Security Council has increased the demands, a move that, even if aimed at pressuring the US and gaining concessions in the negotiations, has its own risks, and it is unclear what the US response will be. @VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
NONews92%match14¢+586%
Iran: Negotiations with Oman are unrelated to whether the Strait of Hormuz can be reopened.
ABC News, citing a US official familiar with the negotiations, reported that the temporary shipping route being considered between the Islamic Republic and Oman will be in place for 60 days, during which time negotiators will work to reach a long-term agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and the nuclear deal.
According to the report, Iranian government officials have said that the agreement will create new shipping routes, according to which commercial ships will enter the Persian Gulf through a route controlled by the Islamic Republic and exit through an exit route controlled by Oman.
The US official emphasized that none of the terms of the agreement have been finalized by the time of the official announcement.
Where does the news lean?
341YES80NO79neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 51% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
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What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran.
A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian or Omani policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at managing, permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including agreements defining vessel traffic corridors, fee collection policies, or other management policies.
All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met. A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement. Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.
Each announcement must be a declarative statement that clearly and unambiguously communicates acceptance of an agreement. Statements that reference ongoing negotiations or a prospective agreement, or that allude to or express support for an agreement without confirming acceptance of the agreement, do not qualify. A qualifying announcement need not reference the agreement by name or use specific terminology, provided it clearly communicates acceptance of an agreement.
Whether announcements from the listed countries represent a diplomatic agreement and whether such an agreement qualifies will be primarily determined through the announcements themselves. Where an announcement is made by all listed countries but, based on the announcements, it remains ambiguous whether the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the countries, this market will remain open until either i) definitive confirmation that the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the listed entities is achieved through further announcements from the listed countries or a consensus of credible reporting or ii) 14 calendar days (ET) have passed after the date that the last country made their first potentially qualifying announcement. If, at the end of the fourteenth calendar day, no definitive confirmation has been achieved, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Oman and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
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