Iran-Oman Hormuz Management AgreementAugust 15

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$258KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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What moved the odds?

31 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOIran Semi-Official SNN92%match100¢
US Concerns Over Progress in Iran-Oman Talks The Wall Street Journal, citing American officials, wrote that Washington is concerned that the agreement between Iran and Oman will consolidate Tehran's control over the Strait of Hormuz. The publication wrote: "Some senior Washington officials accuse Muscat of favoring Tehran, while others consider it a valuable mediator between Iran and the United States." Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
NOIran Foreign Ministry95%match100¢
Meeting of the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the media, Monday, August 16, 1405, answer to the fourth question: I did not mention the roadmap, I said that there was an understanding about the traffic route map, but we were and are going to finalize the understanding in the form of a package; the map plus a joint statement. The question arises as to why this process has taken so long and when will it be completed. I will present to you three major factors as to why this process continues. One factor is the complexity of the issue. Keep in mind that the insecurity of the Strait of Hormuz was imposed on us, on the region, and on the entire world, and the reason for it was the illegal military action of the United States and the Zionist regime. The issue is very complex. For the first time, you want to develop a mechanism that will both ensure the sovereignty and sovereign rights of the two coastal states and ensure the safe passage of commercial ships in this waterway. Another point is the multiplicity of actors trying to influence this process, and perhaps more importantly, the destructive efforts of some malicious parties who have shown that they never care about the peace and security of the region and basically want our region to always be in a state of conflict and chaos. These three factors have made this process take some time. But if you consider all of this, considering that the origin of this story began in Esfand 1404, what a very eventful day we have had; the epic defense of the Iranians of their national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and then the process that led to the 18th of Khordad, when the Khordad understanding was supposed to be a start to reducing tensions. Unfortunately, the US broke the agreement there again; Only 20 days after the implementation of the Memorandum of Understanding began. But I would like to inform you that the talks between Iran and Oman are continuing in earnest. Regarding the text of the joint statement, views are being exchanged, and both sides have so far shown that they are determined to develop a mechanism that will meet the interests and concerns of both sides and at the same time meet the considerations related to international shipping. @MFAIran [in reply to: Meeting of the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the media, Monday, August 16, 1405, Fourth Question: Regarding the issue of the Strait of Hormuz, the negotiations that are underway between Iran and Oman, Mr. Minister said that these negotiations will probably come to a conclusion soon. You also announced the development of a map between the two countries and said that a joint statement is being developed. I want to see if there has been any obstacle regarding the joint statement that has taken so long? If so, please tell us about it and explain the latest progress in the negotiations. @MFAIran]
NOalarabytv94%match99¢+1%
“No agreement without something in return.” Why hasn’t the Iranian-Omani agreement on the Strait of Hormuz been announced? #Latest @NafeeYahya
NOalarabytv94%match95¢+5%
A maritime agreement in the Strait of Hormuz is nearing completion between Iran and Oman, but sticking points are hindering the announcement.
NOaljazeera.com91%match95¢+5%
Live: Iran says route through Hormuz agreed with Oman, but deal yet to be finalised
NOalarabytv93%match93¢+8%
Statements about an imminent agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz have not materialized into a public agreement. What is the sticking point between Iran and Oman?
YESalarabytv91%match22¢-100%
"Iran and Oman reach final agreement on traffic map for the Strait of Hormuz"... A look at international headlines @mohammedsoleymn
YESalarabytv94%match30¢-100%
What are the features of the Iranian-Omani agreement regarding passage through the Strait of Hormuz? #Latest
NOalarabytv93%match69¢+45%
Technical complications are hindering the final announcement of the agreement between Iran and Oman regarding the management of the Strait of Hormuz and maritime traffic. Details from Al-Araby TV correspondent Yasser Masoud:
YESAl Jazeera Mubasher92%match36¢-100%
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: We have agreed with the Sultanate of Oman on a transit map for the Strait of Hormuz and are currently discussing some technical points.
NOAsharq93%match73¢+37%
Oil prices rise as Iran and Oman continue to struggle to reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz.
NOalarabiya92%match46¢+117%
Despite nearing a technical agreement with Oman, Iran links the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to six demands, including compensation, lifting sanctions, and the withdrawal of US forces.
NONews92%match28¢+257%
Iran: Negotiations with Oman are unrelated to whether the Strait of Hormuz can be reopened.
NOiranintl95%match24¢+317%
ABC News, citing a US official familiar with the negotiations, reported that the temporary shipping route being considered between the Islamic Republic and Oman will be in place for 60 days, during which time negotiators will work to reach a long-term agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and the nuclear deal. According to the report, Iranian government officials have said that the agreement will create new shipping routes, according to which commercial ships will enter the Persian Gulf through a route controlled by the Islamic Republic and exit through an exit route controlled by Oman. The US official emphasized that none of the terms of the agreement have been finalized by the time of the official announcement.
YESfortune.com97%match70¢-100%
Iran says agreement on Hormuz shipping reached with Oman
YESabcnews.com94%match75¢-100%
Live: Iran says framework of Oman agreement finalized
NOiranintlbrk92%match15¢+567%
Reuters, citing shipping sources, wrote: The proposed plan by Tehran and Muscat to hand over management of ships entering the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz to Iran is simply not feasible due to US sanctions and payment restrictions in insurance contracts.
NOalarabytv95%match16¢+525%
Iranian concerns hinder the announcement of an agreement with Oman to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
YESnews.tv-asahi.co.jp96%match84¢-100%
Iran and Oman agree to fine offending vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
YESwashingtonpost.com93%match83¢-100%
Iran says Hormuz deal with Oman won’t fully reopen strait
YESalmayadeennews93%match83¢-100%
Oman and Iran have finalized the agreement, and we await the US announcement regarding the lifting of the embargo and sanctions. We are just hours away from the US announcement, followed by a joint announcement from Iran and the Sultanate of Oman regarding the agreement. Details with the head of the Iranian Journalists Union, Mashallah Shamsolvaezin #AlMayadeen
YESms.now97%match82¢-100%
Oman, Iran reach agreement over Strait of Hormuz
YESchosun.com97%match94¢-100%
Iran Agrees with Oman on 60-Day Free Opening of Hormuz
YESfaz.net95%match93¢-100%
Iran and Oman: Oil price initially reacts little to Hormuz agreement
YESalarabiya96%match88¢-100%
Al Arabiya sources: Omani-Iranian statement to be issued soon regarding a temporary passage in the Strait of Hormuz until permanent transit arrangements are finalized. ====== The Sultanate of Oman and Iran will issue a statement soon announcing a temporary passage for ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Al Arabiya sources indicated that the temporary passage in the Strait of Hormuz will be in place until permanent transit arrangements are finalized. From Al Arabiya
YESnikkei94%match85¢-100%
Iran reaches agreement with Oman on new shipping route in the Strait of Hormuz, but refuses to relinquish control, creating a rift with the US.
NOalhadath95%match14¢+614%
Key issues include shipping lanes, vessel inspections, and fees for truck passage: Outstanding matters separating Iran and Oman from a final agreement on the Strait of Hormuz. #FromTheEvent
YESRussian Media - MOD96%match86¢-100%
Iran and Oman have agreed to open shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, Al-Hadath TV reports. The agreement requires approval from Iran's National Security Council. It is valid for 60 days, and there will be no tolls. The publication also reports that indirect consultations between the US and Iran to resolve the crisis have entered their final stage. [in reply to: The US and Iran will hold talks on Monday, Trump announced. According to him, a deal is being prepared on the Strait of Hormuz, which will allegedly be followed by an agreement on the denuclearization of the Islamic Republic. "I think there is a deal. There is a deal on the Strait of Hormuz. Then there will be an agreement on the nuclear issue, or, you could say, on the denuclearization of Iran," the American president said. He also said that he canceled the attack on Iran planned for the weekend at the request of Middle Eastern countries. "I was asked by Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and Iran... We are ready to begin any time we want," the US president added. ]
YESNews94%match86¢-100%
URGENT: Iran and Oman agree to open the Strait of Hormuz – Al-Hadath
YESBelarus State News Agency97%match86¢-100%
Iran and Oman have reached an understanding on the main points of the agreement to open the Strait of Hormuz, according to media reports. The agreement could be made public in the coming days. Indirect consultations between Iran and the United States to resolve the crisis have entered their final stage.
YESentekhab_news95%match86¢-100%
A senior source told Al Arabiya: An announcement of an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could be made in the next few days. Ships entering the Strait of Hormuz will use a shipping route closer to the Iranian coast. Ships exiting the Strait of Hormuz will use a shipping route closer to the Oman coast. Some regional parties may participate in mine-clearing operations and implement the necessary technical measures. The 60-day agreement on the Strait of Hormuz is designed to break the deadlock and begin technical negotiations. Indirect contacts between Washington and Tehran are ongoing through mediators. / Selection

Where does the news lean?

165YES36NO77neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran. A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian or Omani policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at managing, permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including agreements defining vessel traffic corridors, fee collection policies, or other management policies. All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met. A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement. Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement. Each announcement must be a declarative statement that clearly and unambiguously communicates acceptance of an agreement. Statements that reference ongoing negotiations or a prospective agreement, or that allude to or express support for an agreement without confirming acceptance of the agreement, do not qualify. A qualifying announcement need not reference the agreement by name or use specific terminology, provided it clearly communicates acceptance of an agreement. Whether announcements from the listed countries represent a diplomatic agreement and whether such an agreement qualifies will be primarily determined through the announcements themselves. Where an announcement is made by all listed countries but, based on the announcements, it remains ambiguous whether the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the countries, this market will remain open until either i) definitive confirmation that the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the listed entities is achieved through further announcements from the listed countries or a consensus of credible reporting or ii) 14 calendar days (ET) have passed after the date that the last country made their first potentially qualifying announcement. If, at the end of the fourteenth calendar day, no definitive confirmation has been achieved, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Oman and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.

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