Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?Liberals (L)
Open$20Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 19% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES19¢
NO81¢
as of
What moved the odds?
19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Good evening @nijo, your timing is perfect, I've been following the parliamentary elections in Sweden closely, won on September 13th by the left-wing bloc (176 seats, compared to 173 for the right-wing bloc)...
Sweden to see a change of government for the first time in four years; left-wing opposition secures a majority in general election.
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has resigned after his bloc's defeat in the election, — SVT On Thursday, Kristersson submitted his resignation to Parliament Speaker Andreas Norlen. Norlen will now hold consultations with representatives of parliamentary parties and begin the search for a new prime minister. According to preliminary election results, opposition parties won 176 seats in the Riksdag, while the parties of the Tidjo bloc won 173. The difference between them is 50,359 votes. Kristersson said that the election result could complicate the formation of a new government due to the different positions of the parties. He called on political forces to engage in constructive dialogue, which is necessary to find a candidate that parliament can support. Kristersson himself and other ministers will continue to perform their duties until a new government is appointed. Andreas Norlen has already started work on forming a new cabinet. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
Live: Right-leaning bloc 'ready to continue governing Sweden if they fail,' liberal leader says
Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has resigned after the results of the election were announced, in which the center-left opposition won. Sweden's center-left opposition parties won 176 seats in the parliamentary elections held on Sunday, September 13, while the right-wing bloc currently in power won 173 seats subscribe
Sweden to see change of government; left-wing opposition secures majority in general election.
Sweden's center-left opposition wins parliamentary election; Prime Minister announces resignation.
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson officially resigned following the defeat of the right-wing bloc in the parliamentary elections held on September 13. #teleSUR #Sweden
[UPDATE] Sweden's prime minister Kristersson to resign after left-leaning opposition narrowly wins election (first reported at 2026-09-17T11:27:56Z)
Sweden: Centre-left narrowly wins parliamentary elections, Prime Minister resigns
Sweden to see change of government after left-wing opposition secures majority in general election
Sweden to see change of government after left-wing opposition secures majority in general election.
Sweden: The left narrowly wins the parliamentary elections; Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announces his resignation
Sweden: The left narrowly wins the parliamentary elections; Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announces his resignation
[UPDATE] Sweden PM Kristersson to resign after left-leaning opposition wins narrow majority in election (first reported at 2026-09-17T11:27:56Z)
Sweden to see change of government after left-wing opposition secures majority in general election.
[Breaking News] Swedish General Election: Opposition Gains 3 Seats, Right-Wing Government to Be Replaced
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced his resignation following the opposition's victory in the parliamentary elections. "I ask to be relieved of my post as prime minister," Kristersson wrote in a letter to the speaker of parliament. It was previously reported that in the elections held on September 13, the center-left opposition won a narrow victory over the ruling bloc.
The opposition center-left bloc won the parliamentary elections in Sweden.
Where does the news lean?
7YES31NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
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