Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?Green Party (MP)
Open$29Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 49% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES49¢
NO51¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The speaker of the Swedish parliament announced that he had asked Magdalena Andersson, leader of the Social Democratic Party, to consider the possibility of forming a new government. The coalition of the Social Democratic, Left, Green and Center parties narrowly beat the right-wing coalition led by current Prime Minister Olof Kristersson in the parliamentary elections.
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
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