Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?Moderate Party (M)
Open$23Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 26% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES26¢
NO74¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The speaker of the Swedish parliament announced that he had asked Magdalena Andersson, leader of the Social Democratic Party, to consider the possibility of forming a new government. The coalition of the Social Democratic, Left, Green and Center parties narrowly beat the right-wing coalition led by current Prime Minister Olof Kristersson in the parliamentary elections.
Sweden to see a change of government for the first time in four years; left-wing opposition secures a majority in general election.
Sweden's general election sees center-left party secure a majority, leading to a change of government for the first time in four years.
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has resigned after his bloc's defeat in the election, — SVT On Thursday, Kristersson submitted his resignation to Parliament Speaker Andreas Norlen. Norlen will now hold consultations with representatives of parliamentary parties and begin the search for a new prime minister. According to preliminary election results, opposition parties won 176 seats in the Riksdag, while the parties of the Tidjo bloc won 173. The difference between them is 50,359 votes. Kristersson said that the election result could complicate the formation of a new government due to the different positions of the parties. He called on political forces to engage in constructive dialogue, which is necessary to find a candidate that parliament can support. Kristersson himself and other ministers will continue to perform their duties until a new government is appointed. Andreas Norlen has already started work on forming a new cabinet. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
The vote count for the Swedish parliamentary elections has ended, and the opposition parties have won a majority in parliament by a margin of just three seats. After the results of the vote count were announced, the Swedish Prime Minister announced that he would resign from his position, thus beginning the process of forming a new government. More details in an interview with Mehran Abbasian, Iran International correspondent
The opposition camp won the Swedish parliamentary elections by a narrow margin; if they reach a coalition agreement, it will be the first change of government in four years.
Sweden to see change of government; left-wing opposition secures majority in general election.
Sweden to see change of government after left-wing opposition secures majority in general election
Sweden to see change of government after left-wing opposition secures majority in general election.
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced his resignation following the opposition's victory in the parliamentary elections. He announced this on his X page. "The election results could create difficult conditions for forming the next government, as various party announcements made before election day could become an obstacle for all possible candidates to form a government and coalition," the statement read. Kristersson stated that the Speaker of the Swedish Parliament, Andreas Norlén, will take steps toward forming a new government. "To enable this work to begin immediately, I hereby request to be relieved of my position as Prime Minister," he wrote in the statement.
Sweden: The left narrowly wins the parliamentary elections; Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announces his resignation
Sweden: The left narrowly wins the parliamentary elections; Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announces his resignation
[UPDATE] Sweden PM Kristersson to resign after left-leaning opposition wins narrow majority in election (first reported at 2026-09-17T11:27:56Z)
Sweden to see change of government after left-wing opposition secures majority in general election.
Preliminary result: Sweden on the verge of a change of government – opposition camp wins parliamentary election
[Breaking News] Swedish General Election: Opposition Gains 3 Seats, Right-Wing Government to Be Replaced
Where does the news lean?
1YES27NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
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