Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? Odds jumped to 22% on Sep 17, 2026

OpenMove

Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? On , the market’s odds jumped from 7¢ to 22¢ (+15 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Ukrainska Pravda news outlet.

How did the odds move?

At match7¢
+5m7¢
+30m7¢
+1h22¢
1h move+15 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoUkrainska Pravda news outlet95%match
Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has resigned after the results of the election were announced, in which the center-left opposition won. Sweden's center-left opposition parties won 176 seats in the parliamentary elections held on Sunday, September 13, while the right-wing bloc currently in power won 173 seats subscribe

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES10¢
NO91¢

Vol$9K

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Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.