Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?Left Party (V)
Open$41Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 24% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES24¢
NO76¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced his resignation following the opposition's victory in the parliamentary elections. "I ask to be relieved of my post as prime minister," Kristersson wrote in a letter to the speaker of parliament. It was previously reported that in the elections held on September 13, the center-left opposition won a narrow victory over the ruling bloc.
Opposition left-wing wins slim majority in Sweden election: au
YESNews94%match17¢+41%
URGENT: Sweden's Left Bloc wins parliamentary elections after 100% of votes counted
The opposition center-left bloc won the parliamentary elections in Sweden.
The Social Democrats' party secretary Tobias Baudin believes that the Left Party is "very far from" being in a government. The Green Party's spokesman Daniel Helldén insists that the Left Party "has done some work in this area". It is insufficient. There must be a direct and clear no to anti-Semites and terror romantics in the government from Magdalena Andersson. There must be a direct and clear no to the Left Party.
Where does the news lean?
37YES4NO30neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
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