Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? Odds jumped to 23% on Sep 13, 2026

OpenMove

Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? On , the market’s odds jumped from 14¢ to 22.5¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters.

How did the odds move?

At match14¢
+5m20.5¢
+30m14.5¢
+1h22.5¢
1h move+8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesReuters97%match
Sweden’s Liberals Party Seen Above Parliament’s 4% Threshold, Broadcaster Svt’s Projection Shows

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 17% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES17¢
NO83¢

Vol$3K

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Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.