Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
Open$66Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 78% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES78¢
NO22¢
as of
What moved the odds?
23 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Sweden: The leader of the Social Democrats fails again to form a government
Sweden's Social Democratic party leader Magdalena Andersson said Tuesday she had failed to form a government with the three other parties in the left-wing bloc following last month's election. •
Live: Swedish parliament speaker Andreas Norlén says he will put Andersson’s candidacy to lead a single-party government to test her support in parliament. The vote w
Sweden Social Democratic leader says no 'conditions' to form government
Swedish Parliament Speaker Reappoints Andersson to Form New Government Swedish Parliament Speaker Andreas Norlén today, Friday, reappointed Social Democratic Party leader Magdalena Andersson to form a new government, nearly three weeks after the parliamentary elections won by the left-wing bloc.
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In Sweden, the leader of the Social Democratic Party is once again tasked with forming a government
Sweden's Social Democratic leader Andersson fails to form government
Live: Left-leaning coalition failed to form government in Sweden, Social Democratic leader Andersson says
Sweden's Social Democratic leader Andersson says failed to form government
NOXinhua96%match26¢-15%
Flash: Swedish Social Democratic Party leader Magdalena Andersson says failed to form gov't: media
NOReuters95%match19¢+16%
Swedish Social Democratic Leader Andersson: Will Tell Speaker of Parliament She Cannot Form a Government in the Current Situation
Swedish Parliament Speaker Tasks Andersson with Forming New Government Swedish Parliament Speaker Andreas Norlén today tasked Social Democratic Party leader Magdalena Andersson with forming a new government in Sweden.
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Swedish opposition leader tasked with forming govt
Following the election in Sweden: Social Democrat receives mandate to conduct exploratory talks
Social Democrat receives mandate in Sweden to conduct exploratory talks
Sweden: Magdalena Andersson, the leader of the Social Democrats, tasked with forming a government after her victory in the parliamentary elections.
The speaker of the Swedish parliament announced that he had asked Magdalena Andersson, leader of the Social Democratic Party, to consider the possibility of forming a new government. The coalition of the Social Democratic, Left, Green and Center parties narrowly beat the right-wing coalition led by current Prime Minister Olof Kristersson in the parliamentary elections.
Sweden to see a change of government for the first time in four years; left-wing opposition secures a majority in general election.
Swedish Prime Minister Resigns Sweden's Prime Minister has resigned after his ruling right-wing party narrowly defeated the center-left opposition in the country's general election. Get the latest news:
Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
Swedish Prime Minister Resigns After Election Defeat Swedish Prime Minister Olof Kristersson resigned from his position after the results of the parliamentary elections were announced and the opposition parties won 176 seats against the ruling bloc's 173 seats, and the path to forming a new government in Sweden began. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
With 99% of the votes counted in the Swedish general election, public television declared a narrow victory for the center-left opposition party.
The Swedish elections have placed the left-wing opposition in the lead, one seat ahead of the right-wing alliance, amid uncertainty regarding the formation of the next government.
Sweden will get new government if centre-left lead holds, opposition leader Andersson says
Where does the news lean?
54YES8NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
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