Who will enter Iran by June 30?JD Vance

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$2.6MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

42 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOfoxnews99%match100¢
The Trump administration is stressing the U.S. will judge Iran by its actions — not its words — when it comes to dismantling its nuclear program and allowing IAEA inspections. • • VP Vance, freshly back in Washington after talks with the Iranian regime, says progress has been made toward a deal to end the war, as Secretary of State Marco Rubio is heading to the Persian Gulf to rally support among U.S. allies in the region, @aishahhasnie reports.
NOalhadath99%match100¢
US Vice President J.D. Vance departs Switzerland for the United States after participating in talks with Iran.
NOalarabiya99%match100¢
US Vice President J.D. Vance departs Switzerland for the United States after participating in talks with Iran.
YESnytimes.com99%match0¢
Vance Claims Progress in First Day of Iran Talks
NOtheguardian.com99%match100¢
Before boarding his flight home from Switzerland, the US vice-president JD Vance spoke to reporters on the tarmac and was asked if he felt snubbed by Iran’s for
NOCNN Reporter99%match100¢
Vance departs Switzerland after weekend negotiations with Iran. • • "As much as this place is very beautiful, I can’t stay here for the next 60 days," Vance said earlier today during a brief news conference.
NOfoxnews.com99%match100¢
Vance touts ‘productive 36 hours’ of peace talks with Iran before departing Switzerland
NOcnn.com99%match100¢
Vance departs Switzerland after negotiations between US and Iran
YESNews99%match0¢
Following talks with Iran, Vance said the US and Iranian teams would continue to work to achieve progress.
NOAsharq Reporter99%match100¢
Vance is heading back to DC after two days talk in Switzerland with the Iranians .
NOAl Arabiya Reporter99%match100¢
VP Vance on his way to the airport back to Washington after concluding the first round of talks with #iran in Switzerland.
NOCBS Reporter99%match100¢
Technical talks are expected to continue through the week between the U.S. and Iran, after 18 hours of negotiations with Vice President JD Vance. Here's what he says was accomplished for @CBSStations • • -Vance says nuclear inspectors will be allowed into Iran • -Communication line set up "to avoid incidents and miscommunication" for ships going through the Strait of Hormuz • -"Deconfliction cell" between the US, Iran, the mediators, and Lebanon "to ensure the adherence of the termination of military operations" in Lebanon h/t @kristincbrown
NOIranian Media99%match100¢
US official tells Al Jazeera: US Vice President JD Vance is still in Switzerland and negotiations are ongoing @IRIBNEWS_COM
NOfoxnews.com98%match95¢+5%
JD Vance to remain in Washington during US-Iran talks -- for now
YESlrozen99%match6¢-100%
so, seems to be a mini game of chicken if Vance will get on the plane before the Iranians publicly confirm they are coming. • Pakistanis seemingly trying to finesse it
YESmarketnews_feed99%match6¢-100%
JD VANCE EXPECTED TO LEAD POTENTIAL SECOND ROUND OF TALKS WITH IRANIAN OFFICIALS AHEAD OF NEXT WEEK'S CEASEFIRE DEADLINE; STEVE WITKOFF & JARED KUSHNER ALSO EXPECTED TO ATTEND - CNN ...
YESfirstsquawk99%match6¢-100%
JD VANCE EXPECTED TO LEAD POTENTIAL SECOND ROUND OF TALKS WITH IRANIAN OFFICIALS AHEAD OF NEXT WEEK'S CEASEFIRE DEADLINE; STEVE WITKOFF & JARED KUSHNER ALSO EXPECTED TO ATTEND - CNN
YESclashreport99%match6¢-100%
JD Vance is expected to lead a potential second round of talks with Iranian officials if negotiations continue before next week’s ceasefire deadline. • • Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are also expected to attend. • • Source: CNN
YESAl Hadath99%match6¢-100%
Sources tell CNN that Vance is expected to lead a potential second round of talks with Iran.
YESAl Arabiya99%match6¢-100%
Sources tell CNN that Vance is expected to lead a potential second round of talks with Iran.
NOnna-leb.gov.lb99%match93¢+8%
Al-Araby Al-Jadeed: Vance leaves Pakistan without reaching an agreement with Iran
YESAsharq Reporter99%match7¢-100%
Vance boarded at 7:08 am for departure to DC. • • He landed at 10:45 AM on Saturday . • • 21 hours of talks with the Iranians ended with no agreement .
YESyuto_headline99%match7¢-100%
*US Vice President returns home after failing to reach an agreement with Iran. *VANCE: WE GO BACK TO US WITHOUT DEAL
NOAsharq99%match93¢+8%
Vance: Talks with Iran in Islamabad lasted 21 hours
NOaljadeednews99%match93¢+8%
Vance: We are returning to Washington without reaching an agreement with the Iranians.
NOisraelnews2399%match93¢+8%
There is no agreement between the US and Iran. Vance: "Very bad news for Iran, returning to the US for consultations"
NOisraelnews2399%match93¢+8%
BREAKING: Vance in a DRAMATIC statement now from Pakistan: "We were UNABLE to reach an agreement with the Iranians, WE ARE NOW RETURNING TO THE US".
NOisraelnews2398%match93¢+8%
Vice President Vance: We were quite flexible, but Iran chose not to accept our terms. We are returning to the US without a deal.
NOFox Reporter99%match93¢+8%
Vance headed home • • Left with best and final offer on the table: "We'll see if Iran accepts it."
NOAl Arabiya99%match93¢+8%
Vance: We did not reach an agreement with Iran. * Talks with Iran have failed and we will return to America The Iranians did not accept our conditions and the talks failed.
NOiranintlbrk99%match93¢+8%
Vance: I think this is much worse news for Iran than it is for the United States. So we're going back to the United States without a deal.
NOAl Arabiya99%match93¢+8%
Vance: Talks with Iran have failed and we will return to America
NOAl Arabiya99%match93¢+8%
AFP: Vance will hold a press conference shortly in Islamabad following talks with Iran.
NOosinttechnical99%match93¢+8%
Vance is expected to hold a press conference after a marathon negotiation session with the Iranians in Pakistan. • • It is 5:50 AM.
YESaljadeednews99%match8¢-100%
Tasnim News Agency, citing a source: The third round will be attended by Qalibaf, Araqchi, Ali Bagheri, Vance, Wojtkov, and Kushner.
YESAl Jazeera Mubasher98%match8¢-100%
Tasnim News Agency: The new round of talks is taking place with the participation of Qalibaf, Araqchi, and Ali Bagheri from the Iranian side, and Vance, Witkoff, and Kushner from the American side.
YESAl Jazeera99%match8¢-100%
Tasnim News Agency, citing a source: The third round will be attended by Qalibaf, Araqchi, Ali Bagheri, Vance, Wojtkov, and Kushner.
YESiranintlbrk99%match8¢-100%
Tasnim wrote that in the trilateral talks between the Islamic Republic, the United States, and Pakistan, Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, Abbas Araqchi, and Ali Baqeri from the Islamic Republic, and J.D. Vance, Whittaker, and Kushner from the United States, are present.
YESiranintlbrk98%match11¢-100%
Axios, citing two American sources, said: J.D. Vance asked Donald Trump to play a role in diplomacy regarding Iran. Another reason for giving him the leadership of the American delegation was the tension and distrust between Trump's envoys and Iranian officials after the previous two rounds of talks ended in war.
NObbc.co.uk99%match95¢+5%
JD Vance to lead US team in talks with Iran in Pakistan
YESisraelnews2399%match6¢-100%
Iran does not want to negotiate with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, they prefer U.S. Vice President JD Vance. - CNN/The Telegraph
YESfaytuksnetwork99%match6¢-100%
CNN: Iran tells US it will not negotiate with Witkoff or Kushner, but only JD Vance

Where does the news lean?

29YES250NO77neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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