Who will enter Iran by June 30?Pete Hegseth
ResolvedOutcome: No$226Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is scheduled to give a classified briefing to a big group of House Republicans about the Trump admin's goals for military funding and another party-line bill during RSC lunch Wednesday. • • Briefing is set for the House SCIF. It comes as lawmakers want Trump officials to also brief them on the Iran war and the admin's MOU. • • @politico text subscribers got it first
"Iran's military is embarrassed and humiliated, and they should be" after the US successfully extracted its two aviators, US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth told reporters in a press conference on Monday.
"Iran's military is embarrassed and humiliated, and they should be" following the US successfully extracted its two aviators, US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth told reporters in a press conference on Monday.
Trump on Iran: • • Pete Hegseth didn’t want it to be settled. • •
Pete Hegseth from the Oval, on negotiations to end the war with Iran: "We see ourselves as part of this negotiation as well. We negotiate with bombs."
"Nous sommes les maîtres du jeu" affirme Pete Hegseth qui menace l'Iran si le régime des mollahs continue de viser les sources d'énergie au Moyen-Orient
BREAKING: "There's a reason we call Iran the number one state sponsor of terrorism." • • "They invest it in tunnels, and they invested in missiles and they invested in launchers and UAVs. And we are destroying and degrading that." — Secretary of War Pete Hegseth
US War Secretary Pete Pete Hegseth: Iranian officials are cowering underground like "rats”. • • Meanwhile Iranian officials: • • Follow
Pete Hegseth, confirme la publication que j'ai faite hier dans l'édition centrale : la prochaine étape dans les frappes contre les industries de défense — les cibles sont les lignes de production, les usines et les industries de défense de l'Iran.
NOcbseveningnews98%match90¢+11%
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said that Tuesday would be the "most intense day" of strikes against Iran so far, and that "ultimately," President Trump "gets to determine the end stage of those objectives" in the Islamic Republic.
Where does the news lean?
0YES25NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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