Who will enter Iran by June 30?Donald Trump
ResolvedOutcome: No$128Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
39 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Donald Trump said about the talks between Tehran and Washington and tomorrow's meeting between the parties in Doha, Qatar: "The Doha meeting may be very important, or it may not be; we will have to wait and see what happens. But overall, the process has gone well so far." He added: "Militarily, we are also winning, and I would even say that the work is almost done. It is very simple: denuclearization of Iran. We do not want Iran to have access to nuclear materials, and they should not have nuclear weapons." "They have agreed to this," Trump said.
A US official told CNN that after the recent clashes near the Strait of Hormuz, Tehran and Washington have decided to refrain from any escalating action for now. Donald Trump said that the talks are going well from Washington's point of view and reiterated that America's main goal is to disarm Iran. Reported by Niloufar Mansouri, Iran International correspondent
Deputy Foreign Minister: We have no plans to negotiate with the US this week The presence of US officials in Doha has nothing to do with the presence of Iranian expert delegations in Doha. Our experts will go to Doha to follow up on US commitments on behalf of Qatar. There is also no meeting or plan for the Iranian and American delegations to meet. [in reply to: US President's claim: We will meet with Iran in Doha tomorrow! Continuing his illusions and contradictions, Donald Trump claimed that Iran has requested a meeting and that the meeting will be held in Doha tomorrow. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus]
Trump's claim: Doha meeting may be important While Iranian officials denied holding technical meetings this week, the aggressive American President Donald Trump once again repeated the claim of holding a meeting in Doha, Qatar, claiming: This meeting may be important. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_IR
Trump's claim: Doha meeting may be important While Iranian officials denied holding technical meetings this week, the US President once again repeated the claim of holding a meeting in Doha, Qatar, claiming: This meeting may be important. According to an IRNA reporter, Donald Trump once again repeated his claims, claiming: "This is Iran's nuclear disarmament. We do not want them to have nuclear weapons and they are not going to have them. @IRNA_1313
US President Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that Tehran is making a lot of concessions in the negotiations with Iran. He said: "Iran is making a lot of concessions and we are winning by a large margin." He told reporters without giving further details that we will see what happens. An hour before these statements, Donald Trump had said in an interview with Fox News that American inspectors would visit Iran's nuclear facilities along with inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency. In response to Iranian officials' statements denying the agency permission to inspect, he said: "They agree, put it in writing, then they go and say that's not true." The US president reiterated that the Islamic Republic has agreed to the visit of the agency's inspectors. Since the US and Israeli attacks on nuclear facilities, officials in the Islamic Republic have Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan have prevented the Agency from inspecting these facilities.
@VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
Trump's anger over the US Senate resolution to stop the war on Iran The US President criticized the US Senate resolution that passed a bill calling for the US to stop the war on Iran. On Tuesday night local time, Donald Trump published a statement on his social network Truth, claiming: "I have put Iran under a lot of pressure; It is on the verge of surrender, ready to retreat, and willing to give us almost anything.” He claimed: Iran “has also, for the first time in decades, shown extraordinary respect for the United States and its president, me.” Trump, angry about the Senate resolution, claimed: But in these circumstances, “the US Senate decides to act at an inappropriate time and with a meaningless vote on the War Powers Act.” @IRNA_1313
US President Donald Trump released a video of an interview with Larry Kudlow, former head of the White House National Economic Council, on Fox Business Network on TrutSocial. Kudlow said in the interview that the goal of the agreement with Iran was to reduce tensions and increase oil supply to the global market. He noted that with the increase in Iranian oil exports, a large part of the global oil supply shortage has been compensated and tanker traffic is ongoing in the Strait of Hormuz. This former US official considered the statements of the Islamic Republic officials about the situation in the Strait of Hormuz to be contradictory to the field realities and similar to the statements of Saeed al-Sahhaf, Minister of Information and Culture in Saddam's government. Kudlow added that the potential revenues from the sale of Iranian oil in the coming months will first of all pass through mechanisms supervised by the US Treasury Department and will be spent solely on the purchase of agricultural goods and medical supplies. He said that Donald Trump has complete control over the process of the agreement with the Iranian government. Yes.
Larry Kudlow added that potential revenues from the sale of Iranian oil in the coming months will first pass through mechanisms overseen by the US Treasury Department and will be spent solely on the purchase of agricultural goods and medical supplies. He said that Donald Trump is in full control of the agreement process with the Iranian government.
Regarding the inspection of the Islamic Republic's nuclear facilities, Donald Trump said that the IAEA inspectors will be present in Iran at the appropriate time. The US president stressed that if Tehran did not agree to nuclear inspections, he would have canceled the talks. Nilofar Mansouri, a correspondent for Iran International, reports
The US Senate also voted to limit Trump's war powers. The US Senate approved a bill that would bar US President Donald Trump from carrying out any military operations against Iran unless he first receives authorization from Congress. The war powers resolution was approved by the US Senate with 50 votes in favor and 48 against.
The US Senate also voted to limit Trump's war powers The US Senate approved a bill that would bar US President Donald Trump from carrying out any military operations against Iran unless he first receives authorization from Congress. The war powers resolution was approved by the US Senate with 50 votes in favor and 48 votes against. mehrnews.com/x3cq4h @Mehrnews
"If the Islamic Republic acts rationally and intelligently, we'll have no problem," US President Donald Trump said during a visit to a truck assembly plant in Pennsylvania. "If they act rationally and intelligently, we'll have no problem. Otherwise, we'll have to finish the job, which may take less than a week." But he added, "I think they'll do what they have to do, because we want it to happen." Trump said the US was trying to reach a "fair" deal with the Islamic Republic.
US President Donald Trump said relations between Washington and Tehran were going "very well" and added that the US was trying to reach a "fair" deal with the Islamic Republic.
Trump said: "The very important thing is that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon and will agree to that. That's why I did that operation." Criticizing Barack Obama's policy towards the JCPOA, he added: "They thought they could bribe Iran with money for peace. No, all they understand is a hammer; like the operation we did and we targeted their nuclear program."
US President Donald Trump: Iran's economy is faltering and will need many years to recover... and Tehran is not in good shape; it lacks an army and anti-aircraft defenses.
US President Donald Trump: Iran's military infrastructure has been completely destroyed and inflation has reached 300%
US President Donald Trump: We are making a great deal with Iran... and we will not allow them to have a nuclear weapon, and they have agreed to that.
Donald Trump said about the presence of nuclear energy inspectors in Iran: "The inspectors will be there at the right time. They (the Islamic Republic) are wrong about the inspections of the International Atomic Energy Agency." He added: "You want to see trouble? Let Iran have nuclear weapons. We have a very good situation with Iran. They are greatly weakened and we are reaching an agreement with them and we will see how everything goes."
US negotiations with Iran are progressing well and have yielded a number of agreements on nuclear control, sanctions, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump announced this on the Truth Social social network. According to Trump, the most important thing was Tehran's agreement to conduct nuclear inspections. The US President noted that this condition became the basis for continuing the negotiation process. Trump described the situation in Iran as a humanitarian crisis and emphasized the need for assistance. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: The head of South Ossetia announced that he had accepted Vladimir Putin's offer to become his adviser. In an address to the nation, Alan Gagloev announced his resignation as head of state in connection with his transfer to work in the presidential administration of the Russian Federation, Sputnik South Ossetia reports. On June 22, Putin held a working meeting with Gagloev. According to the Kremlin, they discussed the current agenda of Russian-South Ossetian cooperation and "cooperation on a wide range of issues." Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android]
US President Donald Trump announced in a message on Truth Social that the Islamic Republic's financial resources and sanctions waivers released by the US Treasury Department will be held in a trust account under US control. Trump said these resources will be used exclusively to purchase food and medical supplies from the US, including corn, wheat and soybeans from American farmers. He added that these items are essential needs for Iran and described the current situation as a "humanitarian crisis." The US President added: "I feel it is necessary to help now, before it is too late." Trump also referred to the process of negotiations between Washington and Tehran, saying: "The talks are going very well."
Negotiations between the US and Iran are proceeding successfully, Donald Trump wrote in Truth Social. The US President noted that, given Tehran's concessions, he agreed to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. Washington is also prepared to renew the naval blockade if necessary, Mr. Trump added. "All ships remain in place if there is a need to renew the blockade, which at this point appears highly unlikely." Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
US President Donald Trump: Despite their protests and false statements claiming otherwise, along with the constant noise from the Fake News media doing all they can to minimize the US victory and make it seem as insignificant as possible, Iran has fully and completely agreed to nuclear inspections at the highest levels for a very long time to come (indefinitely!!!). This will ensure “nuclear transparency.” If you hadn’t agreed to this, there would have been no further negotiations! Based on this, and on other significant concessions from Iran, I have agreed to keep the Strait of Hormuz open, without any additional naval blockade. However, all ships will remain in position in case the blockade needs to be reimposed, which at this stage seems highly unlikely. The funds and/or sanctions waivers released by the U.S. Treasury Department will be placed in a U.S.-controlled escrow account and will be used exclusively to purchase food and medical supplies from the United States, including corn, wheat, and soybeans from our great American farmers. These are things Iran desperately needs. This is a humanitarian crisis, and I believe it is essential to provide assistance now, before it is too late. The talks are progressing well!
US President Donald Trump wrote in a message on Truth Social on Tuesday, July 2, that the Islamic Republic has “fully and completely” agreed to conduct nuclear inspections at the highest level for a long time to come. Trump wrote in a message: “Despite all the denials and false statements to the contrary... Iran has fully and completely agreed to conduct nuclear inspections at the highest level for a long time to come (forever!!!).” The US President also said that the Islamic Republic has made other important concessions during the negotiations. He added: “Based on this and other important concessions that Iran is making, I have agreed that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open and no more naval blockades will be imposed.” Trump also said that all ships will remain in position to re-establish the blockade if necessary, although According to him, such a possibility currently seems "highly unlikely."
Despite their protestations and false statements to the contrary, coupled with the drumbeat of the Fake News, which is doing everything possible to make the U.S. Victory as small and insignificant as possible, Iran has fully and completely agreed to highest level Nuclear inspections long into the future (Infinity!!!). This will insure “Nuclear Honesty.” If they did not agree to this, there would be no further negotiations! Based on this and other major concessions being made by Iran, I have agreed to allow the Hormuz Strait to remain OPEN, with no further Naval Blockade. However, all ships are remaining in place should it be necessary to reinstitute the Blockade, which seems, at this point, highly unlikely. The Money and/or Sanctions that the U.S. Treasury is releasing goes into escrow, controlled by the U.S.A., and will be used for the purchase of food and medical supplies, exclusively from the United States, including Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans from our great American Farmers. These are things that are desperately needed by Iran. This is a humanitarian crisis, and I feel it is necessary to help, NOW, before it is too late. Talks are going well! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP
"If he doesn't behave, I'll do what needs to be done" Donald Trump again threatens Iran if it doesn't respect the agreement #BFM2
President Trump posted on Truth Social: “Everyone fully understands that Iran will agree to major weapons inspections to ensure its ‘nuclear integrity’ for a long time to come. President Donald J. Trump”
President Donald Trump's press statements at the White House regarding Iran and other issues: He spoke of "positive progress" in the negotiations with Iran, while simultaneously vowing that Washington "will do what is necessary" if Tehran does not adhere to the agreement. He claimed that Iran's military capabilities have been significantly diminished, and that the Iranian navy, air force, and defense systems have suffered heavy losses. He stated that the Strait of Hormuz is open and will remain open, and reiterated that Iran will not be allowed to possess a nuclear weapon. He considered the naval blockade imposed by Washington on Iran "an effective option," and threatened the possibility of resuming it "if necessary." Regarding Netanyahu's statements about the continued aggression against Lebanon, Trump avoided commenting, simply saying: "I am a problem solver, and I solve them very quickly." On the elections in Colombia, he said that the candidate he supported He won the election, and the country's new leader called him to thank him.
"We killed their leaders and destroyed their navy," US President Donald Trump threatens Iran with "severe consequences" if it does not comply with the agreement.
US President Donald Trump: I will do what I have to do if Iran does not comply with the interim agreement.
US President Donald Trump: As long as Iran respects us, we'll be fine. If they don't respect us, things won't go well. Obama gave them nuclear weapons, and I stopped them.
US President Donald Trump: The Strait of Hormuz is open... and I will do what I must if Iran does not abide by the interim agreement.
US President Donald Trump: As long as Iran respects us, we'll be fine. If they don't respect us, things won't go well. Obama gave them nuclear weapons, and I stopped them.
Iran's nuclear program is more important than the risk of economic depression, Donald Trump said. "Nuclear weapons are more important than depression...Nuclear weapons will lead to depression faster. The way we're doing it is causing the opposite of depression," the White House chief said. The American president added that he will "do what he must" if Iran doesn't comply with the terms of the agreement. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
US President Donald Trump: Everyone knows very well that Iran will eventually agree to extensive inspections aimed at ensuring nuclear integrity for a long period of time. Trump's remarks come as talks continue between the American and Iranian delegations in Burgenstock, Switzerland, amid expectations that the details of the previous memorandum of understanding between the two sides will be finalized.
Donald Trump said the Strait of Hormuz is wide open and things are going very well there. He added that if Tehran does not abide by the agreement with Washington and does not behave properly, he will do whatever is necessary. Trump said that as long as the Islamic Republic respects us, we will have no problem.
Qalibaf said that after Donald Trump's "threatening and insulting tweet," he told JD Vance, "The first clause of the negotiation we signed is that there will be no threats or force," adding: "After that, we left the meeting and never returned."
Key Points of PAST 48 Hours - @MKTNews_Global • Iran conflict: • • U.S. Vice President Vance hints at no long-term US presence in Iran • • Iran threatens to hit USS Abraham Lincoln if it comes within missile range • • Iran says it's 'waiting' for a possible U.S. ground assault • • Iran strikes U.S.-linked aluminum facilities in the UAE and Bahrain; Aluminium Bahrain says two injured, damage under assessment • • Iran says it destroyed a U.S. E-3 AWACS aircraft, releases satellite images • • Iran’s parliament speaker says pre-market “news” was a trap for profit-taking and a contrarian signal • • Pakistan’s foreign minister says preparations underway to host Iran-U.S. peace talks in coming days • • U.S. troop levels in the Middle East exceed 50,000 • • Donald Trump says he wants to “take the oil in Iran,” suggests seizing Kharg Island • Geopolitics & military (ex-Iran): • • China’s defense ministry sends delegation to Europe for mechanism-based dialogue • • U.S. officials say Washington allowed a Russian oil tanker to dock in Cuba • • Israel to invite U.S. military to establish bases in the country • Global policy & economy: • • WTO discusses extending moratorium on e-commerce tariffs for five years • • Swiss president says U.S.-Switzerland trade talks to continue beyond March • • U.S. Treasury to begin series of meetings in coming weeks with domestic and international insurance regulators on private credit markets – sources • Energy & commodities: • • Libya’s Sharara oil field output seen returning to normal within 48 hours • • South Korea’s vice finance minister says government may activate level-3 resource crisis response if oil prices rise • U.S. politics: • • Fox News poll shows U.S. voter disapproval of Trump hits record high • • Senate hearing for Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh could begin as early as week of April 13 – sources • Corporate & technology: • Business Insider: final founding member of Elon Musk’s xAI team departs this week • Tesla plans to double size of its service center network in Japan (
"There will be no turning back": Donald Trump urges Iran to reach an agreement before it's "too late"
"I don't think anyone wants to be in charge of Iran," says Donald Trump
Where does the news lean?
0YES59NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
gamma-backfill
Related markets
See all outcomes for Who will enter Iran by June 30? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.