Who will enter Iran by June 30?Any U.S. Senator
ResolvedOutcome: No$1.3Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOIran Semi-Official Fars98%match88¢+14%
US Senator Chris Murphy: We cannot achieve any of our goals in a war with Iran I just came from a classified, closed-door, 2-hour briefing on the war. It only confirmed to me that this war is completely devoid of coherence and logic. We will not be able to achieve any of our stated goals. There is really no way we can destroy Iran's nuclear program, because most of it is buried underground; unless we launch a ground invasion, which would be even more catastrophic and even more repugnant [in public opinion]. @Farsna
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Who will enter Iran by June 30? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.