Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?Chuck Schumer
ResolvedOutcome: No$7Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOBloomberg98%match72¢+39%
Kevin Warsh floated plenty of ideas for how he would run the Federal Reserve during his campaign for the job as chair. For Wall Street, few are as cryptic — or potentially consequential — as his call for a new accord with the Treasury Department.
NOThe Wall Street Journal98%match72¢+39%
From @WSJopinion: How can Kevin Warsh make the Fed great again? Restoring independence and credibility means getting politics out of central banking, writes Joseph Sternberg.
NOThe Economist99%match73¢+37%
As Federal Reserve chair, Kevin Warsh will have three audiences to please. To keep everyone clapping, he will need to turn in the performance of a lifetime
NOReuters98%match83¢+20%
Kevin Warsh says the Fed needs 'regime change' — and that he's ready to 'break some heads.' Will he do it? Hear the debate on Reuters Econ World
NOCNBC99%match78¢+28%
Fed pick: Tillis doubles down on Warsh blockade over concerns about Fed independence
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
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