Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?Elizabeth Warren
ResolvedOutcome: No$48Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
26 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Elizabeth Warren seeks information on finances of Trump’s Fed nominee
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass ) reacts to this news, saying: “Either the Republican majority is fooled easily or they are hoping to fool the American people.“
Sen Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): "This is just an attempt to clear the path for Senate Republicans to install Pres Trump’s sockpuppet Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair. Let’s be clear what the Justice Dept announced: they threatened to restart the bogus criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell at any time"
Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, the top Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, said that the decision by the Trump administration to drop its investigation into Fed chair Jerome Powell was not enough. In a statement, Warren seized on a comment from Jeannine Pirro, the U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia, who had said that the government could restart the investigation into Powell if conditions warranted. “Anyone who believes Donald Trump’s corrupt scheme to take over the Fed is over is fooling themselves,” said Warren, who renewed her demand that the Senate refrain from proceeding with the confirmation of Kevin Warsh to serve as the next chair of the central bank.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren: "Anyone who believes Donald Trump's corrupt scheme to take over the Fed is over is fooling themselves. The Senate should not proceed with the nomination of Kevin Warsh."
#Video: During a congressional hearing, facing Senator Elizabeth Warren's questioning about independence, Trump's Federal Reserve Chair nominee, Kevin Warsh, stated that one point of contention between him and President Trump lies in "casting criteria." Trump had previously called Warsh a "perfect casting choice."
Coming up tonight at 9 p.m. ET, Sen. Elizabeth Warren will join me after she questioned President Trump's Fed nominee Kevin Warsh.
NEW: Democrat Senator Elizabeth Warren and Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh clash during his confirmation hearing, as she accuses him of not being willing to divest his assets upon taking on the role as head of the central bank. • • "Will you at least disclose how you plan to disclose and divest these secret assets?" • • "I've agreed to divest all of those assets... before I take the oath of office." • • Warsh later insisted he is "happy to do" any divestiture necessary so he can focus on fixing the Fed and "reforming an institution that has lost its way."
SENATOR ELIZABETH WARREN: ARE YOU REFUSING TO TELL US IF YOU HAVE INVESTMENTS IN VEHICLES SET UP BY JEFFREY EPSTEIN? • • FED CHAIR NOMINEE KEVIN WARSH: THOSE ASSETS WILL BE SOLD IF I'M CONFIRMED AND BEFORE I TAKE OFFICE. ...
Unpacking Elizabeth Warren's opening statement and a very heated exchange with Kevin Warsh: • • Democrats are laying out a line of critique that brands Warsh as a political opportunist whose views track whether the chairmanship of the Fed is open
"A puppet at the head of the Fed would allow President Trump to enrich himself" Democratic U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren has expressed concerns about Kevin Warsh, a close ally of Donald Trump and a candidate for the chairmanship of the Federal Reserve. #BFM2
Sen. Elizabeth Warren asks Trump Fed pick Kevin Warsh if he has investments tied to the Trump family. He won't answer directly.
One of the issues that Senate Democrats plan to raise today: Kevin Warsh’s significant wealth, after he promised in recent ethics filings to divest more than $100 million in assets. Ahead of the hearing, Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, the top Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, issued a report that faulted Warsh for failing to disclose some of the details of his investments.
U.S. Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren stated that Federal Reserve chair nominee Kevin Warsh's financial disclosures have significant gaps that violate Senate ethics rules. • • More Here →
NOReuters99%match87¢+15%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
NOThe Economist99%match89¢+12%
Some of Kevin Warsh’s criticisms of the Federal Reserve are sensible. But others are questionable
NOThe Economist98%match88¢+14%
Kevin Warsh’s nomination to lead the Federal Reserve caused the dollar to strengthen and gold to fall. Yet the small relief rally does not change the big picture
NOunusual_whales99%match88¢+14%
Warren: This should be an easy one. Can you commit that Trump's Fed nominee, Kevin Warsh, will not be sued or investigated by the DOJ if he does not cut interest rates in the way Trump wants? Bessent: That's up to the president
NOBloomberg99%match88¢+14%
Kevin Warsh floated plenty of ideas for how he would run the Federal Reserve during his campaign for the job as chair. For Wall Street, few are as cryptic — or potentially consequential — as his call for a new accord with the Treasury Department.
NOThe Wall Street Journal98%match86¢+16%
From @WSJopinion: How can Kevin Warsh make the Fed great again? Restoring independence and credibility means getting politics out of central banking, writes Joseph Sternberg.
NOReuters99%match86¢+16%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
NOThe Economist99%match87¢+15%
As Federal Reserve chair, Kevin Warsh will have three audiences to please. To keep everyone clapping, he will need to turn in the performance of a lifetime
NOThe Wall Street Journal98%match89¢+12%
From @WSJopinion: How can Kevin Warsh make the Fed great again? Restoring independence and credibility means getting politics out of central banking, writes Joseph Sternberg.
NOReuters98%match86¢+16%
Kevin Warsh says the Fed needs 'regime change' — and that he's ready to 'break some heads.' Will he do it? Hear the debate on Reuters Econ World
NOCNBC99%match91¢+10%
Fed pick: Tillis doubles down on Warsh blockade over concerns about Fed independence
NOPOLITICO99%match84¢+19%
The odds seem stacked against Kevin Warsh, but the carefully crafted career path he has traveled up to this point suggests he is perhaps uniquely situated to pull off being Trump’s Fed chair A portrait of him, by me & the very talented @ianwardreports
Where does the news lean?
0YES34NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
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