Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?Kevin Cramer
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESReuters98%match79¢+27%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
YESThe Economist99%match79¢+27%
As Federal Reserve chair, Kevin Warsh will have three audiences to please. To keep everyone clapping, he will need to turn in the performance of a lifetime
NOCNBC98%match18¢-100%
Fed pick: Tillis doubles down on Warsh blockade over concerns about Fed independence
Where does the news lean?
2YES1NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
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