Next French Presidential ElectionSébastien Lecornu
Open$1.5Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
LIVE
Presidential election: Sébastien Lecornu reaffirms he is not a candidate
Presidential election 2027: Sébastien Lecornu rules out a candidacy and calls for avoiding "domestic chaos" by voting on a budget
Live: It's 4 PM, here's a news update: • #POLITICS Reaffirming that he is not a "presidential candidate," Sébastien Lecornu outlined several options for the 2027 budget, "reversible" after the election...
Live: #POLITICS Sébastien Lecornu reaffirmed that he is not a "presidential candidate" and will not "interfere" in the campaign for next spring's election, in an interview published Saturday by Le Parisien...
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Sébastien Lecornu confirms he is not a candidate
Presidential election 2027: "I am not a candidate in the election," insists Sébastien Lecornu
Sébastien Lecornu: "I am not a candidate in the presidential election."
Live: Sébastien Lecornu confirms he is not a candidate in the presidential election
YESCGTN Europe99%match2¢-50%
French government, led by Lecornu, survives first of 2 no confidence votes linked to the budget in French parliament
Where does the news lean?
8YES10NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 91% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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See all outcomes for Next French Presidential Election — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.