Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restartsSeptember 30
Open$129Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 42% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES42¢
NO59¢
+38 ptsas of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Reuters: Oil loading operations at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu port on the Red Sea have been halted @YjcNewsChannel [in reply to: Saudi Arabia cancels some oil shipments Saudi Arabia has told some European customers that a number of crude oil shipments will be canceled in late September. Reuters cited the closure of Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline and shipping disruptions in the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz as the reason for the decision. @YjcNewsChannel]
Oil loading from Saudi Yanbu port has also been halted Reuters: Oil loading operations at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu port on the Red Sea have been halted.
@Farsna [in reply to:
Saudi Arabia cancels some oil shipments Saudi Arabia has told some European customers that a number of crude oil shipments will be cancelled in late September. Reuters cited the closure of Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline and shipping disruptions in the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz as the reason for the decision.
@Farsna]
Saudi Arabia cancels some oil shipments Saudi Arabia has told some European customers that some crude oil shipments will be canceled in late September. Reuters cited the closure of Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline and shipping disruptions in the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz as the reason for the decision.
@Farsna [in reply to: Saudi megaproject shattered New satellite images show that recent Yemeni attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure have spread to several points along the East-West pipeline, knocking out pumping stations on this 7-million-barrel artery. The images show traces of burns near the Hanakiya route and other points in Medina province. According to the latest report from the International Energy Agency, Saudi oil supply in August was 6 million barrels per day, 2.3 million barrels less than the previous month and the lowest level in more than 30 years. Last year it reached; this number is expected to be halved this month.
@Farsna - Link]
Saudis Cancel September Crude Cargoes To Europe As East-West Pipeline Shutdown Deepens Energy Crisis
Saudi Arabia's pipeline will not be operational for a month With the loss of the possibility of exporting oil through the East-West pipeline for a period of 3 to 5 weeks, Riyadh's tactical escape route from the Strait of Hormuz has been blocked. Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline will be out of service for at least three to five weeks following drone attacks on its pumping stations. The multi-week shutdown has blocked Riyadh's alternative crude oil export artery and severely restricted the country's energy transit. According to initial engineering assessments and statements from Saudi officials, the extent of the damage to technical equipment and pumping stations is such that the process of assessing, procuring parts, and safely rebuilding the infrastructure will take a long time, at least a month. dnws.ir/003cLe @defapress_world
Saudi Arabia's east-west pipeline, which was attacked, is expected to take 3 to 5 weeks to repair.
The Saudi oil pipeline damaged by the Houthis will be out of service for several weeks.
Yemeni attacks put Saudi megaproject on the air New satellite images show that recent Yemeni attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure have spread to several points along the East-West pipeline, knocking out pumping stations on this 7 million-barrel artery. Mizan on social media @mizanplus
Saudi Arabia's megaproject shattered New satellite images show that recent Yemeni attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure have spread to several points along the East-West pipeline, knocking out pumping stations on the 7-million-barrel artery. The images show burn marks around the Hanakiya route and other points in Medina province. According to the latest report from the International Energy Agency, Saudi oil supply in August reached 6 million barrels per day, 2.3 million barrels less than the previous month and the lowest level in more than 30 years; this number is expected to be halved this month.
@Farsna - Link [in reply to: Satellite images of damage to another pumping station on Saudi Arabia's East-West oil pipeline due to recent attacks
@Farsna]
Saudi Arabia's pipeline, which was attacked, may take 3 to 5 weeks to repair; there is also a risk of a surge in crude oil prices.
Saudi Arabian pipeline to be restored in "3 to 5 weeks," AP reports; oil spill likely occurred after attack.
Global crude oil supply at risk of disruption; Saudi Arabian oil pipeline, shut down after attack, expected to take 3 to 5 weeks to recover.
A major oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia is out of action Restoring the damaged East-West oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia could take five to six weeks. Responsibility for the attacks has not yet been officially established. Saudi authorities also reported casualties. The oil market has already reacted with rising prices. Experts believe that the prolonged downtime of the pipeline could increase pressure on oil and fuel prices.
Saudi Arabia's pipeline could take 3-5 weeks to repair after drone attack damages pumping facilities and other equipment; global crude oil supply could be cut by up to 4%.
Associated Press: The main Saudi oil pipeline damaged in attacks days ago will remain out of service for several weeks while repairs are carried out.
Saudi Arabian crude oil pipeline attacked by drones "will take 3 to 5 weeks to repair," raising concerns about global supply disruptions, AP reports.
Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline may take weeks to be restored, AP reports
FWD from Mehr International: How will the disruption to Saudi Arabia's oil pipeline affect global supply? Saudi Arabia's east-west pipeline, which was shut down on Friday after drone attacks, transported about 4 million barrels of oil a day to the Red Sea port of Yanbu and had helped Saudi Arabia weather the consequences of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced exports from regional countries for the past six months. Informed sources told Reuters that repairs could take five to six weeks and that the disruption to the Saudi oil pipeline could take 4 percent of global supply off the market. mehrnews.com/x3d3Z7 @MehrnewsIntl
Reuters, citing sources: If Saudi Arabia does not restart its main oil pipeline to the Red Sea within a few days, its oil reserves for export will run out; as a result, up to 4% of global supply could be removed from the market It may take five to six weeks to repair this pipeline / Selection
SAUDI PIPELINE OUTAGE THREATENS 4% OF GLOBAL OIL SUPPLY • • Saudi Arabia could lose up to 4 million barrels per day of exports — roughly 4% of global supply — if its critical East-West pipeline does not restart within days, Reuters reports. • • Saudi storage at Yanbu can sustain exports for only 5-7 days, according to sources. With repair estimates potentially stretching to 5-6 weeks, a prolonged outage risks deepening the global oil crunch and adding further pressure to inflation and bond yields.
Where does the news lean?
6YES153NO22neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 90% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?14
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?13
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?12
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?12
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?11