Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? Odds jumped to 62% on Sep 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? On , the market’s odds jumped from 54¢ to 62¢ (+8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from cls.cn. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match54¢
+5m57.5¢
+30m58.5¢
+1h62¢
+24h44¢
1h move+8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 58.5¢ → 41.5¢-17 ptsafter a signal from argusmedia.com
  • 41.5¢ → 49.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from Houthi-Linked TV
  • 41.5¢ → 49.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from tvalmasirah
  • 41.5¢ → 49.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from Saba News Agency
  • 42.5¢ → 51¢+8.5 ptsafter a signal from foxnews.com

What moved the odds?

Nocls.cn96%match
A key Saudi oil pipeline was attacked and damaged; its main transport capacity will be suspended for several weeks.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$1.0M

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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.