Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? Odds fell to 75% on Sep 13, 2026

OpenMove

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? On , the market’s odds fell from 83.5¢ to 75¢ (-8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from IRGC-Affiliated Sabereen News.

How did the odds move?

At match83.5¢
+5m83.5¢
+30m83.5¢
+1h75¢
1h move-8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoIRGC-Affiliated Sabereen News97%match
American media citing Saudi sources: Repairs to the East-West pipeline in Saudi Arabia may take more than 6 weeks, and Yanbu has enough stock to last 5-7 days to maintain oil exports.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 84% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES84¢
NO17¢

Vol$7K

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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.