Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? Odds fell to 75% on Sep 13, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? On , the market’s odds fell from 83.5¢ to 75¢ (-8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from IRGC-Affiliated Sabereen News. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match83.5¢
+5m83.5¢
+30m83.5¢
+1h75¢
+24h57.5¢
1h move-8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 13, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 83.5¢ → 75.5¢-8 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Mehr
  • 83.5¢ → 74¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN

What moved the odds?

NoIRGC-Affiliated Sabereen News97%match
American media citing Saudi sources: Repairs to the East-West pipeline in Saudi Arabia may take more than 6 weeks, and Yanbu has enough stock to last 5-7 days to maintain oil exports.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$1.0M

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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.