Putin out as President of Russia

OpenOutcomes5as of

Market pricing makes June 30, 2027 the favorite at 10% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin had a telephone conversation with President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev (September 21, 2026) President of the Republic of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev warmly congratulated President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin by telephone on the successful holding of the elections to the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation of the ninth convocation. It was noted that the high turnout and voting results confirmed the unconditional support of Russian citizens for the course of the Russian President's implementation of dynamic socio-economic development of the country and the protection of national interests. Vladimir Putin and Shavkat Mirziyoyev also discussed topical issues of the further development of allied relations between Russia and Uzbekistan. #RussiaUzbekistan
Top news as of the evening of September 17th. Briefly: Auchan LLC, Lemana PRO LLC, and Nestlé Russia LLC have been transferred to the temporary management of L.E.V. Management by presidential decree. Lemana PRO has commented on this announcement. Vladimir Putin held a meeting on economic issues. Russia and Ukraine exchanged the bodies of fallen soldiers. Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson announced his resignation amid the opposition's victory in the parliamentary elections. WSJ and FT reported on Donald Trump's plans to sign a law on "hellish sanctions" against Russia. Russian courts have satisfied claims for the seizure of more than 3 trillion rubles of corrupt officials' property by the state in 2025 and the first six months of 2026. Donald Trump announced progress on the issue of creating a US military base in Poland. Alexander Ovechkin commented for the first time on his participation in a United Russia election video. More news digests are on our channel in "Max".
Address by the President of the Russian Federation V.V. Putin on the eve of the elections (September 16, 2026) V.V. Putin: Dear friends! Esteemed citizens of Russia! I consider it important to address you now, when a significant and in many ways decisive election campaign is underway in our large country. Elections of deputies of the State Duma, as well as legislative assemblies and heads of a number of regions and municipal authorities, will be held in strict accordance with the law and within the established timeframe. Such a large-scale campaign is being conducted in the context of a special military operation. Residents of Donbass and Novorossiya will elect deputies of the State Duma for the first time since reunification with Russia. I am confident that our soldiers and officers, who are now carrying out difficult combat work, will also take an active part in the voting. Their courage and loyalty to the Fatherland are an example for the entire country. We know what Russia is fighting for and the duty of every citizen. Victory is forged by our heroes on the battlefield. It is brought closer by all who honestly work for the Motherland and understand their responsibility for its future. And participation in the upcoming vote, which will take place during the Year of Unity of the Peoples of Russia, is also a responsibility, a contribution to strengthening the country. Your choice and will will once again demonstrate that millions of people are behind our soldiers, that we are a united people, united by shared values, historical memory, and love for the Motherland, that no one will succeed in dividing and intimidating us, or undermining our statehood and socio-political system. Every voter's voice matters. Who exactly, what political forces will represent the interests of the people in the federal parliament, in the regions, and at the local level, directly depends on all of us, on your personal choice. I am convinced that, relying on your support and trust, the most worthy and competent candidates, true patriots of Russia, those who will not let us down, who have proven their devotion to the Motherland, their readiness to serve our people, and to protect the country from any threats, will win. *** Dear friends! Voting will take place over three days: September 18, 19, and 20. I ask you to be sure to exercise your constitutional right and make a deliberate, responsible decision so that the election results confirm the maturity and resilience of Russian society. This will be our common response to those who want to weaken Russia, restrain its development, deprive us of our sovereignty and the right to independently determine our own destiny. Participation in the elections is our common contribution to Russia's victory! Information channel of the Central Election Commission of Russia Official website of the Central Election Commission of Russia
Russian President Vladimir Putin holds a meeting in the Kremlin with General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam and President of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam To Lam (September 9, 2026) #RussiaVietnam
Vladimir Putin awarded Mikhail Shufutinsky the title of People's Artist of Russia. The corresponding presidential decree is dated September 3, 2026. RBC Channel on Max RBC app for iOS and Android
September 30, 2026News93%match98¢+2%
URGENTLY Putin will deliver a major speech at the plenary session of the WEF-2026, which will take place on September 3
December 31, 2026CGTN Europe98%match86¢+12%
Putin: The objectives of the special military operation will undoubtedly be achieved
December 31, 2026The Economist98%match86¢+12%
But Vladimir Putin will keep fighting, and claiming victory prematurely

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.