Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Donald Trump

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$460KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOalarabiya_eng99%match96¢+4%
Oil prices gain more than 3 percent after US President Donald Trump has said his patience with Iran is running out, adding to concerns over the lack of progress on a peace deal to end ship attacks and seizures around the Strait of Hormuz.
NOfarsnews_agency99%match96¢+4%
Trump: We could attack Iran's nuclear facilities again While US President Donald Trump has repeatedly claimed that he has destroyed Iran's nuclear facilities, he again claimed in an interview with Fox News that the US could attack Iran's nuclear facilities again.
NORussian Media99%match96¢+4%
The United States may repeat strikes on nuclear facilities in Iran, Donald Trump said. “I told them: if they send troops there to try to do this (to remove the uranium, - Kommersant), or if we see that someone is trying to do this, we will just drop a couple of bombs there, and that will be the end of it,” the US president said in an interview with Fox News. According to him, the United States monitors Iranian nuclear facilities around the clock. Follow Kommersant on Telegram | MAX
NOIranian Journalist99%match96¢+4%
US President Donald Trump said in an interview with Fox News that he had spoken to China about Iran. Trump added that he does not think China wants the Islamic Republic to acquire nuclear weapons. He said the Islamic Republic could either "compromise" or "be destroyed." The US president said he didn't want to do that, but the US has the strongest military in the world. Trump said that we in the Islamic Republic are dealing with a "third tier" of leaders. He said that the first and second tiers of leadership were destroyed and that he thinks the third tier is "more logical" and "smarter" in some ways than the first and second tiers "who are no longer with us." He compared this change to a kind of "regime change." Trump, noting that the Islamic Republic took "five days" to respond to the US proposal, which did not take "an hour", added that the Islamic Republic has "a lot of chaos" within itself and that they have "nothing but chaos". Regarding China's support for the Islamic Republic, Trump said that Chinese President Xi Jinping strongly stated that he would not provide weapons to the Islamic Republic. ... He added, "I hope" the Islamic Republic sees this interview because the US can quickly destroy any weapons they may have acquired during the ceasefire. "We know exactly what they're doing... and everything they've done in the last four weeks, we'll take them out in one day," Trump said. The US president said the war could have been continued for "a few more weeks" and the matter would have been over, but he called it off at the request of several countries. Trump said the Islamic Republic had two options: "Either agree or be destroyed." Trump also said that removing enriched uranium from Iran would be more for "public relations" and that he would feel better if the material was removed from Iran. The US president added, "It's a big project to get it, it's a really big project." "We were thinking about doing this early on, but it would take time; it would take about a week and a half, and that's a long time to be in enemy territory," he said. Donald Trump explained that "you have to move this huge amount of granite. You know, there's granite there. Granite is the hardest rock. It's really amazing, because the bombs that we used were incredibly powerful. And don't forget, on top of that, we hit it with Tomahawk missiles." He said he didn't think it was necessary to remove the material from Iran "except for public relations. I think it's important to the fake media that we get it. I was the one who said we would get it, and we will get it. We're watching it." Trump pointed out that with the US "Space Force", which was his initiative, all movements around nuclear sites in Iran are under American surveillance. "I'd rather we get it, but we're keeping an eye on it," he said. "We know exactly what's going on there. A few days ago a man tried to get into that passage. We saw a door that was completely smashed. And we know everything. If they ever make a move, and I've told them this, if they send in a force and I see someone trying, all we're going to do is hit it with a few more bombs and that's it. They're not going to do that." "I told them we have nine cameras in that place, at those three sites, 24 hours a day. We know exactly what's going on. Nobody's even come close to it. They checked it out at first and said there's no way anyone could get to that nuclear dust. But still, I'd rather have it. I'd rather get it," Trump said. @VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
NORussian Media99%match96¢+4%
The military destruction of Iran is one of the results of Washington's impressive work. Donald Trump wrote about this on the social network TruthSocial, listing the results of his work. Among such achievements during his "impressive 16 months of administration," Trump cited a rising stock market, an increase in 401(k) retirement accounts, an influx of investment into the U.S., a strengthening labor market, changes in DEI policies, and foreign policy and military steps. Speaking about Iran, the American president declared the “military destruction of Iran” and added: "To be continued". RBC Channel in "Max" RBC app for iOS and Android
NOiranintlbrk99%match96¢+4%
Israel's Kan TV reported that Donald Trump will decide whether to resume the war against the Islamic Republic or extend the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz after returning from his trip to China.
NOiranintl_en99%match96¢+4%
US President Donald Trump said on Thursday the United States has “militarily decimated Iran,” in a post on Truth Social, adding with "(to be continued!)"
NOiranintl_en99%match96¢+4%
Iran's parliament is reviewing a bill that requires the government to pay €50 million to any individual or entity that kills US President Donald Trump in retaliation for the killing of Iran's leader and commanders, a senior lawmaker said on Thursday. •
NOiranintlbrk99%match96¢+4%
Ebrahim Azizi, head of the National Security Commission of the Parliament, announced the development of a plan entitled "Retaliatory Action by the Military and Security Forces of the Islamic Republic," which envisages a reward of 50 million euros for the killing of US President Donald Trump.
NOiranintl99%match96¢+4%
Mohammad Ali Jafari, commander of the Revolutionary Guards' "Baqiyyallah" headquarters, said in a video, parts of which were published by the Tasnim news agency: "The Islamic Republic will not enter into negotiations without confidence-building measures from the United States, and restarting the war is definitely to the detriment of the United States." Jafari added: "Donald Trump does not like the texts sent by the Islamic Republic's negotiating team, but he has no better option than to accept Tehran's conditions." He said that the Islamic Republic is not negotiating with the United States in the "first step" and is exchanging messages through Pakistan based on its own terms. The commander of the Revolutionary Guards' "Baqiyallah" headquarters said that the Islamic Republic will first announce its confidence-building measures and obtain a commitment from the "enemy," and only enter into negotiations if the commitment is received.
NOiranintl_en99%match96¢+4%
The House is set to vote on Thursday on a war powers resolution directing President Donald Trump to remove US forces from hostilities against Iran, NBC News reported, citing the House floor schedule. • • The resolution is sponsored by Democratic Representative Josh Gottheimer and backed by Democrats who had previously opposed Iran war powers resolutions. • • The report said Democrats would need support from more Republicans than Representative Thomas Massie to pass the measure.
NOiranintl99%match96¢+4%
Axios wrote in a report on Iran that American officials do not expect Donald Trump to take significant action regarding the Islamic Republic during his trip to China, but believe he may make his next decision immediately after the end of the trip. According to the report, one of the options being considered is the resumption of "Project Freedom," a plan in which the US Navy attempts to break the deadlock in the Strait of Hormuz. According to Axios, another option is to launch a new bombing campaign focused on Iranian infrastructure. Israeli officials have also said that they will be on full alert this weekend if Trump decides to resume the war.
NOIsrael's Channel 14 Reporter99%match94¢+6%
Trump: I just read the response from Iran's "representatives." I don't like it - totally unacceptable! Thank you for your attention. President Donald J. Trump.
YESRussian Media99%match26¢-100%
If an agreement to end the conflict is reached at the US-Iranian talks, US President Donald Trump may attend to sign it. The White House chief himself announced this at a press conference. "If there's a deal signed in Islamabad, I might go," Mr. Trump said. At the same briefing, the American president announced that the next meeting between US and Iranian representatives is planned for the weekend. Follow Kommersant on Telegram | MAX | Leave boosts

Where does the news lean?

3YES30NO23neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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