Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?J.D. Vance

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$1.0MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESft.com99%match83¢+20%
Live: Vance set to leave for US-Iran talks ‘soon’
YESstaunovo98%match83¢+20%
An Iranian delegation is making plans to travel to Islamabad on Tuesday for negotiations with the United States, according to two senior Iranian officials familiar with the plans. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the influential political and military figure leading the talks, will attend if Vice President JD Vance also attends, the two officials said. Vance is scheduled to depart Washington for Pakistan on Tuesday and with the long flight, an Iranian delegation will have ample time to travel from Tehran.
YESisraelnews2398%match83¢+20%
Two senior Iranian officials say a delegation will head to Islamabad on Tuesday for talks with the U.S., led by Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who will attend only if JD Vance is present.
YESisraelnews2399%match83¢+20%
BREAKING: An Iranian delegation is preparing to travel to Islamabad tomorrow for talks with the U.S., the NY Times cites two senior Iranian officials. Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf will attend if Vice President JD Vance also attends, the officials said.
YESwarmonitor399%match83¢+20%
Iran has said it will only attend meeting in Islamabad with US negotiating team if JD Vance is present likely because of his apparent anti war stance.
YESnytimes.com98%match83¢+20%
An Iranian delegation is making plans to travel to Islamabad on Tuesday for negotiations with the United States, according to two senior Iranian officials familiar with the plans. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the influential political and military figure leading the talks, will attend if Vice President JD Vance also attends, the two officials said. Vance is scheduled to depart Washington for Pakistan on Tuesday and with the long flight, an Iranian delegation will have ample time to travel from Tehran.
NOjerusalem_post99%match3¢-100%
JD Vance’s delegation is heading to Pakistan for ceasefire talks with Iran, including special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, Trump told the New York Post, insisting that Iran will not achieve nuclear weapons. • Reporting by @JamesGenn •
YESUkrainian Media99%match97¢+3%
US delegation led by Vance heading to Islamabad for talks with Iran – Trump US President Donald Trump told the New York Post on Monday that a US delegation led by Vice President J.D. Vance is flying to Islamabad for talks with Iran. "The president confirmed that a high-level delegation, including Vance, Special Representative Steve Witkoff and advisor Jared Kushner, is already on its way to Islamabad for the next round of talks," the publication reports. ...
NOJ.Post / i24 Reporter99%match3¢-100%
CNN: Talks currently - only on Wednesday (if any) Vice President Vance won't be flying until tomorrow.
NOwarmonitor399%match17¢-100%
JD Vance and the US delegation will arrive in Pakistan for talks despite Iran claiming it will not participate-NYP
YESBloomberg Reporter99%match83¢+20%
NY Post: Vice President JD Vance and the US delegation to the peace talks here with Iran are en route to Pakistan and expected to land within hours, President Trump on Monday told The Post — adding that he was willing to meet with senior Iranian leaders if a breakthrough is reached.
NOiranintl99%match35¢-100%
JD Vance, Donald Trump's vice president, said an Iranian delegation in Pakistan was seeking to reach an agreement with Washington. He also said there was a lot of mistrust between the two countries, but the United States entered the talks in "good faith."

Where does the news lean?

8YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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