Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Marco Rubio
ResolvedOutcome: No$242Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio: Trump did not ask the Chinese president for help regarding Iran, and we do not need it. If we allow Iran to possess a nuclear weapon, it will permanently control the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranians would be mistaken if they thought we would make concessions to reach a deal We will not make a bad deal with Iran under any circumstances For more, follow us on YouTube More details on Alhadath Net
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio: Trump did not ask the Chinese president for help regarding Iran, and we do not need it. If we allow Iran to possess a nuclear weapon, it will permanently control the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranians would be mistaken if they thought we would make concessions to reach a deal We will not make a bad deal with Iran under any circumstances For more, follow us on YouTube More details on Alhadath Net
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio; "President Donald Trump raised the issue of Iran with China, and it was an important conversation." The Chinese leadership has made it clear that it does not support militarization in the Strait of Hormuz, nor does it support any toll system there. This is our position as well.”
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said President Donald Trump raised Iran in talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping but did not ask Beijing for help. • • “We’re not asking for China’s help. We don’t need their help,” Rubio said in an interview with NBC News. • • Rubio said China agreed with the United States that Iran should not have a nuclear weapon. • • He said Chinese officials also told the US team they were not in favor of militarizing the Strait of Hormuz or imposing a tolling system there. • • “It’s good that we have alliance, or at least agreement on that point,” Rubio said. •
Where does the news lean?
7YES7NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.