Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Tokyo, Japan
Open$327as of
Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO87¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"Nihon Kotsu," "GO," and "Waymo" collaborate to aim for the launch of fully autonomous "robo-taxi" operations next year.
Waymo, a US company, is seeking to expand the use of unmanned robotaxis in Japan by 2027, while exploring coexistence with existing business practices.
Where does the news lean?
1YES2NO15neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 70% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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