Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Open21as of
Market pricing makes Las Vegas, NV the favorite at 84% across 21 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Denver, CO78%
Tampa, FL77%
Detroit, MI46%
Tokyo, Japan45%
Chicago, IL42%
New York, NY31%
London, UK13%
Portland, OR10%
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
London rollout of robotaxis delayed amid lack of guidance for firms to follow
Launch date for London robotaxis slips amid TfL uncertainty
Tesla, Uber, and Waymo Clash in Robotaxis in Las Vegas
Waymo gets regulatory approval to scale up robotaxi service across California, enter 2 new markets
Waymo gets regulatory approval to scale up robotaxi service across California, enter 2 new markets
Waymo: We Received Cpuc’s Approval to Expand Service Across the Sf Bay Area, La, and Bring Service to Sacramento, San Diego
Waymo: We Received Cpuc’s Approval to Expand Service Across the Sf Bay Area, La, and Bring Service to Sacramento, San Diego
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.