Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Las Vegas, NV
Open$8Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 85% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES85¢
NO16¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Google $GOOGL owned Waymo is now serving paying customers in Las Vegas, marking the 15th US city where it offers hailable robotaxis - Bloomberg
Waymo opens robotaxi service in Las Vegas
Waymo to bring autonomous ride-hailing to Las Vegas
YESReuters97%match71¢+20%
Waymo: Will Welcome First Public Riders in Las Vegas; Inviting Riders on Rolling Basis
Tesla, Uber, and Waymo Clash in Robotaxis in Las Vegas
Where does the news lean?
5YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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