Brazil Presidential ElectionTarcisio de Freitas
Open$14.1Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESThe Economist98%match28¢-100%
Many Brazilian analysts believe the 2026 presidential race will feature traditional politicians rather than populist outsiders. This would mark the return of moderation after a decade of polarisation and political chaos
NOThe Economist98%match76¢+32%
Fatigue with both the hard right and the left opens up space for a centrist resurgence in Brazil in 2026
NOBloomberg98%match80¢+25%
Sao Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas announced he supports Flavio Bolsonaro’s decision to run for president of Brazil next year, even as investors still hope he’ll emerge as the right-wing candidate
Where does the news lean?
1YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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See all outcomes for Brazil Presidential Election — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.