Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

OpenOutcomes14as of

Market pricing makes ↑ 7.50% the favorite at 73% across 14 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

↑ 7.25%100%
↑ 7.00%100%
↑ 6.75%100%
↑ 6.50%100%
↑ 6.30%100%
↑ 6.20%100%
↓ 6.00%100%
↑ 7.50%73%
↓ 6.50%13%
↓ 6.25%7%
↓ 6.00%5%
↓ 5.90%3%
↓ 5.50%3%
↓ 5.70%1%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

↓ 6.25%alarabiya_bn92%match90¢+3%
The return of mortgage rates to 7% has sent shockwaves through the US housing market, pushing pending home sales to their lowest level in 12 years. Pending home sales plummeted 4% in September compared to the previous month, marking their largest drop in over three years and reaching their lowest point since 2014, excluding the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, according to seasonally adjusted data from real estate brokerage Redfin. Meanwhile, the supply of homes for sale surged to its highest level since March 2020. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed to 7.4% on October 8 from 6.66% in late August, according to Freddie Mac. #Arabic_Business
↓ 6.00%alarabiya_bn92%match95¢
The return of mortgage rates to 7% has sent shockwaves through the US housing market, pushing pending home sales to their lowest level in 12 years. Pending home sales plummeted 4% in September compared to the previous month, marking their largest drop in over three years and reaching their lowest point since 2014, excluding the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, according to seasonally adjusted data from real estate brokerage Redfin. Meanwhile, the supply of homes for sale surged to its highest level since March 2020. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed to 7.4% on October 8 from 6.66% in late August, according to Freddie Mac. #Arabic_Business
↓ 5.90%alarabiya_bn93%match97¢
The return of mortgage rates to 7% has sent shockwaves through the US housing market, pushing pending home sales to their lowest level in 12 years. Pending home sales plummeted 4% in September compared to the previous month, marking their largest drop in over three years and reaching their lowest point since 2014, excluding the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, according to seasonally adjusted data from real estate brokerage Redfin. Meanwhile, the supply of homes for sale surged to its highest level since March 2020. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed to 7.4% on October 8 from 6.66% in late August, according to Freddie Mac. #Arabic_Business
↓ 5.50%alarabiya_bn92%match97¢
The return of mortgage rates to 7% has sent shockwaves through the US housing market, pushing pending home sales to their lowest level in 12 years. Pending home sales plummeted 4% in September compared to the previous month, marking their largest drop in over three years and reaching their lowest point since 2014, excluding the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, according to seasonally adjusted data from real estate brokerage Redfin. Meanwhile, the supply of homes for sale surged to its highest level since March 2020. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed to 7.4% on October 8 from 6.66% in late August, according to Freddie Mac. #Arabic_Business
↓ 5.70%alarabiya_bn92%match99¢
The return of mortgage rates to 7% has sent shockwaves through the US housing market, pushing pending home sales to their lowest level in 12 years. Pending home sales plummeted 4% in September compared to the previous month, marking their largest drop in over three years and reaching their lowest point since 2014, excluding the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, according to seasonally adjusted data from real estate brokerage Redfin. Meanwhile, the supply of homes for sale surged to its highest level since March 2020. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed to 7.4% on October 8 from 6.66% in late August, according to Freddie Mac. #Arabic_Business
↓ 6.50%thehill.com97%match82¢+6%
Mortgage rates hit 7.4 percent for first time since November 2023 Mortgage rates increased again this week, with the average 30-year rate hitting 7.4 percent for the first time since November 2023, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. The average 30-year mortgage rate rose 12 basis points from last week, when it was 7.28 percent, according to the government-sponsored company. This rate has risen for seven consecutive weeks…
↓ 6.25%thehill.com97%match89¢+4%
Mortgage rates hit 7.4 percent for first time since November 2023 Mortgage rates increased again this week, with the average 30-year rate hitting 7.4 percent for the first time since November 2023, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. The average 30-year mortgage rate rose 12 basis points from last week, when it was 7.28 percent, according to the government-sponsored company. This rate has risen for seven consecutive weeks…
↓ 5.90%thehill.com97%match98¢-1%
Mortgage rates hit 7.4 percent for first time since November 2023 Mortgage rates increased again this week, with the average 30-year rate hitting 7.4 percent for the first time since November 2023, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. The average 30-year mortgage rate rose 12 basis points from last week, when it was 7.28 percent, according to the government-sponsored company. This rate has risen for seven consecutive weeks…
↓ 5.50%thehill.com97%match97¢
Mortgage rates hit 7.4 percent for first time since November 2023 Mortgage rates increased again this week, with the average 30-year rate hitting 7.4 percent for the first time since November 2023, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. The average 30-year mortgage rate rose 12 basis points from last week, when it was 7.28 percent, according to the government-sponsored company. This rate has risen for seven consecutive weeks…
↓ 5.70%thehill.com97%match99¢
Mortgage rates hit 7.4 percent for first time since November 2023 Mortgage rates increased again this week, with the average 30-year rate hitting 7.4 percent for the first time since November 2023, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. The average 30-year mortgage rate rose 12 basis points from last week, when it was 7.28 percent, according to the government-sponsored company. This rate has risen for seven consecutive weeks…
↓ 6.00%afr.com91%match94¢+1%
Live: Average long-term US mortgage rate rises for seventh week in a row
↓ 5.70%afr.com92%match99¢
Live: Average long-term US mortgage rate rises for seventh week in a row
↓ 5.50%money.udn.com92%match97¢
US mortgage rates rise to a three-year high
↓ 5.70%money.udn.com91%match99¢
US mortgage rates rise to a three-year high
↓ 6.50%alarabiya_bn96%match82¢+6%
US mortgage rates rose for the seventh consecutive week, reaching 7.4%. Freddie Mac announced that the average interest rate on its 30-year fixed-rate loan rose to 7.4% from 7.28% the previous week. This is the highest rate since November 2023, when it stood at 6.3%. #Arabic_Business
↓ 6.25%alarabiya_bn96%match89¢+4%
US mortgage rates rose for the seventh consecutive week, reaching 7.4%. Freddie Mac announced that the average interest rate on its 30-year fixed-rate loan rose to 7.4% from 7.28% the previous week. This is the highest rate since November 2023, when it stood at 6.3%. #Arabic_Business
↓ 6.00%alarabiya_bn96%match94¢+1%
US mortgage rates rose for the seventh consecutive week, reaching 7.4%. Freddie Mac announced that the average interest rate on its 30-year fixed-rate loan rose to 7.4% from 7.28% the previous week. This is the highest rate since November 2023, when it stood at 6.3%. #Arabic_Business
↓ 5.90%alarabiya_bn97%match98¢-1%
US mortgage rates rose for the seventh consecutive week, reaching 7.4%. Freddie Mac announced that the average interest rate on its 30-year fixed-rate loan rose to 7.4% from 7.28% the previous week. This is the highest rate since November 2023, when it stood at 6.3%. #Arabic_Business
↓ 5.70%alarabiya_bn97%match99¢
US mortgage rates rose for the seventh consecutive week, reaching 7.4%. Freddie Mac announced that the average interest rate on its 30-year fixed-rate loan rose to 7.4% from 7.28% the previous week. This is the highest rate since November 2023, when it stood at 6.3%. #Arabic_Business
↓ 6.50%ft.com92%match82¢+6%
US mortgage rates rise for seventh straight week to hit highest since 2023
↓ 6.25%ft.com92%match89¢+4%
US mortgage rates rise for seventh straight week to hit highest since 2023
↓ 6.00%ft.com92%match94¢+1%
US mortgage rates rise for seventh straight week to hit highest since 2023
↓ 5.50%ft.com91%match97¢
US mortgage rates rise for seventh straight week to hit highest since 2023
↓ 5.70%ft.com92%match99¢
US mortgage rates rise for seventh straight week to hit highest since 2023
↓ 6.50%dbws.io96%match82¢+6%
US 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate jumps to 7.40%
↓ 6.00%dbws.io96%match93¢+2%
US 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate jumps to 7.40%
↓ 6.50%livesquawk94%match82¢+6%
US 30-Year Freddie Mac Fixed Rate Mortgages 08-Oct Wk: 7.40% (prev 7.28%) • - 15-Year Freddie Mac Fixed Rate Mortgages: 6.73% (prev 6.60%) • •
↓ 6.25%livesquawk93%match89¢+4%
US 30-Year Freddie Mac Fixed Rate Mortgages 08-Oct Wk: 7.40% (prev 7.28%) • - 15-Year Freddie Mac Fixed Rate Mortgages: 6.73% (prev 6.60%) • •
↓ 6.00%livesquawk94%match93¢+2%
US 30-Year Freddie Mac Fixed Rate Mortgages 08-Oct Wk: 7.40% (prev 7.28%) • - 15-Year Freddie Mac Fixed Rate Mortgages: 6.73% (prev 6.60%) • •
↓ 5.90%livesquawk94%match98¢-1%
US 30-Year Freddie Mac Fixed Rate Mortgages 08-Oct Wk: 7.40% (prev 7.28%) • - 15-Year Freddie Mac Fixed Rate Mortgages: 6.73% (prev 6.60%) • •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.