Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?↑ 7.00%
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
32 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Average 30-year mortgage rates hit 7.03% this week, the first time they have surpassed 7% since the beginning of last year via @WSJ
US Average Mortgage Rate Surpasses 7%... Concerns Over Housing Market Slowdown
Mortgage rates are back above 7%. How much higher could they climb?
Benchmark mortgage rate tops 7 percent, highest in 2 years
Mortgage rates top 7% for first time since early 2025
US mortgage rates top 7% for first time in 20 months
Mortgage rates reached a grim milestone this week, topping 7% for the first time since January 2025 and reaching their highest level during either of Donald Trump’s presidential terms.
US mortgage rates breach 7% as affordability pressures mount
Mortgage rates top 7% for first time since early 2025
US 30-year mortgage rates top 7%, highest in Trump presidency
Mortgage Rates Hit 7% as Iran War Crushes a Weak Housing Market via @NYTimes
Mortgage rates climb for 5th straight week, pushing average rate on a 30-year home loan above 7%
Mortgage rates top 7%, dealing a further blow to the frozen housing market
The average rate on a 30-year home loan crests 7% after a steady ascent that began in mid-August
Mortgage Rates Hit 7% as Iran War Crushes a Weak Housing Market
Mortgage Rates Just Hit 7%. Here's How the Housing Market Is About to Change. -- WSJ
US mortgage rates break through the 7% mark, reaching a more than two-year high.
Mortgage interest rates top 7%
Mortgage interest rates top 7%
U.S. 30-Year Mortgage Rate Surpasses 7%... Highest Since May 2024
U.S. MORTGAGE RATE TOPS 7% FOR FIRST TIME SINCE 2025 • • The average U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rate jumped to 7.12%, its highest level since May 2024. • • Rates have climbed as Fed tightening, higher oil prices and rising Treasury yields increase borrowing costs. • • The surge is hitting housing demand, with overall mortgage applications falling to a 15-month low and more borrowers turning to adjustable-rate mortgages.
U.S. MORTGAGE RATES RISE BACK ABOVE 7%, HIGHEST IN MORE THAN TWO YEARS
MORTGAGE RATES JUST ROSE BACK OVER 7% TO THE HIGHEST LEVEL IN MORE THAN TWO YEARS
Mortgage rates are nearing 7%. One house hunter says he's "despondent."
U.S. mortgage rates approach 7%... highest since Trump administration took office
U.S. mortgage rates approach 7%... Highest since Trump administration took office
Mortgage rates jump to nearly 7% after Fed rate hike — highest in nearly two years
Mortgage Rates Near 7% -- WSJ
Mortgage rates top 7% for the first time in more than a year, dealing another blow to Americans trying to break into an already tough housing market. • • The average 30-year fixed rate is now hovering above 7% as rising bond yields and renewed inflation concerns push borrowing costs higher. • • Higher rates are also keeping some homeowners locked into their existing low-rate mortgages, squeezing inventory and leaving buyers with fewer options.
The average interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the United States, the most common type, surpassed 7% on Thursday for the first time since May 2025, reaching 7.07%. #Arabic_Business
30-year fixed mortgage rate tops 7% for the first time in over a year
30-year fixed mortgage rate tops 7% for the first time in over a year
Where does the news lean?
35YES1NO29neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
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