Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Yariv Levin
Open$1.6Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The choice of Yariv Levin at the top of the Likud list illustrates that this is a party that is a whale swimming with the aim of committing suicide on the beach. Levin is more responsible than anyone else - except Netanyahu himself - for the collapse of the entire bloc. Everyone knows this. His friends in the Likud are berating him for not consulting them before that press conference, which led the country into chaos that culminated on October 7. There is no person who has created a plan more harmful to the State of Israel, internally and externally, than Levin. Shas doesn't want to hear his name out of disgust. And if all of this were worth it. Levin passed almost none of the elements of his putsch; on the other hand, with the start of the "reform" Likud immediately lost seats that were never returned. Likud has been losing in most polls since March 2023, long before the Hamas invasion - and that's because of the partnership with the Haredim and the legal coup. Netanyahu knows all this, Likud senior figures (even those who survived) are talking about it. But Likud members are swimming to shore, like the whale.
Final poll results 2,232 votes - At the top: Israel Katz (38%) and Gideon Saar (29%) At the bottom: Yoav Kish (6%) And Yariv Levin (7%) [in reply to: null]
Where does the news lean?
6YES5NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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