Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Itamar Ben Gvir
Open$1.7Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Netanyahu and Smotrich Attempt to Unify the Israeli Right with a "Joint Election Plan," Excluding Ben-Gvir ====== The Israeli Prime Minister and Finance Minister are moving to unify the ranks of the Israeli right, excluding Ben-Gvir. Maariv predicted that Netanyahu and Smotrich would participate in two separate rallies to present a unified election plan. The move aims to strengthen the right-wing bloc by about 5 seats by mobilizing 200,000 potential right-wing voters. The plan includes door-to-door campaigns, assistance for thousands to reach polling stations, and the use of influencers. Opinion polls give Likud about 22 seats in the Knesset and the right-wing coalition between 50 and 54 seats.
Ben Gvir: I will ask to be defense minister. Gottlieb will be justice minister
With a panel of 9 judges: The High Court has now begun to discuss the removal of Ben Gvir
Where does the news lean?
22YES76NO54neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 75% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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