Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

OpenOutcomes29as of

Market pricing makes No meeting by December 31, 2027 the favorite at 73% across 29 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

UAE7%

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

UAEUkrainian Media97%match8¢-12%
Trilateral talks may resume in Abu Dhabi next month – media A meeting of representatives of Ukraine, the United States and Russia may be organized as early as next month in Abu Dhabi (UAE), The Atlantic reports, citing a member of the Ukrainian negotiating team. "Next month, we plan to organize a meeting of representatives of the United States, Russia and Ukraine, most likely in Abu Dhabi, to discuss a limited ceasefire. It could oblige each side to refrain from strikes on the other side's energy infrastructure, in particular power plants, oil refineries and similar facilities," the report says. ...
“None of the several representatives of Zelensky’s office I spoke to for this article expect Putin to enter into serious peace talks until at least the spring. ‘He’s been stockpiling missiles for a reason, and he intends to use them this winter,’” one of them said. Journalist Simon Schuster in an article for The Atlantic. [in reply to: No quick decisions should be expected from today’s talks. The war, as we reported earlier, will most likely last at least until mid-2027. In this scenario, Ukraine expects serious support packages from its partners to get through this difficult winter. This, in particular, was just discussed with Witkoff, Kushner, and European partners. Another meeting with them is due to take place in the near future. The venue has not yet been determined.]
The United States plans to organize a trilateral meeting with Ukraine and Russia in October to achieve an energy truce, — The Atlantic This plan is being promoted by US special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, a member of the Ukrainian team of negotiators said. The meeting will most likely take place in Abu Dhabi. The Americans want Kyiv and Moscow to commit not to strike energy infrastructure, including power plants and refineries. A separate agreement, signed with the support of Egypt, would provide for a moratorium on mutual strikes on cargo ships in the Black Sea, especially those carrying grain to markets in the Middle East and Africa. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31, 2027" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Zelenskyy are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. A meeting held in Vatican City will resolve to "Vatican City," not "Italy." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Europe." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Middle East/North Africa." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to "Other." For purposes of this market, countries' regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department's regional classifications in the "Countries and Areas List" (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of "Europe and Eurasia" will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of "Near East (Middle East and North Africa)" will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related events