Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

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Market pricing makes J.D. Vance the favorite at 49% across 128 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Trump hopes for third term despite falling popularity US President Donald Trump once again announced his desire to run for president in 2028 by posting a picture of himself wearing a hat that says: "Trump 2028." #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Trump hopes for a third term in office Donald Trump once again expressed his desire to run for president in 2028 by posting a picture of himself wearing a hat that says: "Trump 2028." He wrote: "We will win." Trump has previously spoken many times about his desire for what he calls a third term in office; although US law does not allow him to do so. Get the latest news: Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
J.D. Vancefoxnews92%match44¢+11%
President Trump says it's "way too early" to be thinking about the 2028 presidential race, responding to a report that he told donors they need to get VP JD Vance elected as his MAGA successor.
J.D. Vancealarabiya91%match44¢+11%
Trump tells donors in private meeting: We want to elect Vance president in 2028
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Tomer Almagor Report in the Washington Post: President Donald Trump told donors in a private meeting in the Oval Office about two weeks ago that he wants to see his vice president, J.D. Vance, win the 2028 presidential election: "Ultimately, we have to elect J.D." Photo: Reuters
J.D. Vancefoxnews97%match46¢+7%
President Trump may have just offered his clearest signal yet about who he wants to carry the MAGA mantle after his presidency. • • Private comments to donors suggest Trump is leaning toward Vice President JD Vance in 2028 after reportedly saying, "At the end of the day, we need to elect JD." • • While sources say the remark isn't a formal endorsement, it's the strongest indication yet of where Trump's thinking may be headed. • • Trump has continued to praise both Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, calling Vance's work on fighting fraud "great" while previously hailing Rubio as potentially "the greatest secretary of state in history." • • He's also previously touted a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as "unstoppable," though he's stopped short of saying who should top the ticket. • • @foxnewspolitics • • Read the full story
J.D. Vancefoxnews97%match46¢+7%
President Trump may have just offered his clearest signal yet about who he wants to carry the MAGA mantle after his presidency. • • Private comments to donors suggest Trump is leaning toward Vice President JD Vance in 2028 after reportedly saying, "At the end of the day, we need to elect JD." • • While sources say the remark isn't a formal endorsement, it's the strongest indication yet of where Trump's thinking may be headed. • • Trump has continued to praise both Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, calling Vance's work on fighting fraud "great" while previously hailing Rubio as potentially "the greatest secretary of state in history." • • He's also previously touted a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as "unstoppable," though he's stopped short of saying who should top the ticket. • • Read the full story
J.D. Vancefoxnews.com92%match47¢+4%
Trump told donors 'we need to elect JD,' source confirms, as he weighs Vance or Rubio in 2028
JD Vance, Trump's choice for the next term of the US presidency Elect JD (Vance); this has been Donald Trump's secret advice to the Republican Party's financial backers for the upcoming US presidential election. The Washington Post wrote that the US President told Republican financial backers in a private meeting about 2 weeks ago that we should ultimately elect JD. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
Jay Vance, Trump's choice for the next term of the US presidency Choose JD (Vance); this has been Donald Trump's secret advice to Republican donors for the upcoming US presidential election. The Washington Post wrote that the US President told Republican donors in a private meeting about 2 weeks ago, "We have to choose JD in the end." Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
J.D. Vanceentekhab_news91%match47¢+4%
The Washington Post, citing informed sources: Trump has privately told donors to support Vance over Rubio in the 2028 presidential election Advisers warn that Trump's decision is not final; he is just enjoying the drama of the race Trump has decided that Vance will be the heir to the Republican Party Poor Republican performance could encourage rivals to compete against Trump's choice Rubio is avoiding any discussion about 2028 / election
J.D. Vancealmayadeennews97%match46¢+7%
The Washington Post revealed that US President Donald Trump told donors in private meetings that he wants to see his running mate, JD Vance, win the 2028 presidential election, a move seen as a sign that he is open to supporting him, despite some advisors believing Trump has not yet chosen his successor. According to the newspaper, Trump said during a meeting with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago, "Ultimately, we need to elect JD." This statement contradicts Trump's rhetoric last year, when he publicly encouraged competition between Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio for his endorsement, refusing to announce his preferred candidate to lead the party in the election. Despite praising Vance in front of donors, the newspaper quoted a White House official as saying that in recent weeks Trump has continued to ask his aides about the comparison between Vance and Rubio, while one of his advisors said he has secretly made his choice in favor of Vance, believing it is not yet time to announce it. He officially supported it. #AlMayadeen
J.D. Vanceiranintlbrk98%match46¢+7%
The Washington Post reported that US President Donald Trump said in a private meeting with his donors: "Ultimately, we have to elect JD." The comment is a sign that he may support JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election.
J.D. VanceNews92%match45¢+9%
*TRUMP TELLS DONORS ‘WE NEED TO ELECT' JD VANCE IN 2028: WAPO
Donald Trump is aiming for a third term as president of the United States. The American leader published a series of new posts on the social network Truth Social, including images with the caption "Trump 2028" and bellicose anti-Iranian images. Earlier, during a speech at the White House Correspondents' Association dinner in Washington, Trump allegedly jokingly stated that he intends to run for president again in the future. Will there be a third term for Trump? - Yes, definitely! - No, he was joking SHOT MAX:
Donald Trumpaa_arabic92%match3¢-33%
US President Donald Trump announces his intention to run "again" in the next presidential election. — This came during a speech he delivered at the annual White House Correspondents' Association dinner at a Washington hotel.
Donald Trumptheguardian.com92%match3¢-33%
Donald Trump dons 'Trump 2028' hat and jokes about 'fourth term' – video
Trump announces he will run for president again Donald Trump: "I'll do it again. It should be easy. I've gotten really good at running for president. I won three times. The second time the election was rigged." Trump continued his speech wearing a hat labeled Trump-2028 nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
WHAT IS THE FUTURE OF THE GOP AFTER TRUMP LEAVES? • • @ChairmanGruters "It's going to be made in the president's image." • • 2028? "What's going to happen is whoever the president picks is going to be the nominee." • • "The Republican Party is Donald Trump's party. • no question about it." • • "And what he's created with the base will last long after he leaves office, and I think it will be felt with elections."
J.D. Vancealhadath98%match41¢+20%
He gave 33 media interviews… Axios: Vance ousts Rubio from the race to succeed Trump… His success on the Iran issue boosted his popularity among Republicans US Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position within the Republican Party as the most prominent political heir to President Trump, according to a report by Axios. The report indicated that Trump was constantly comparing Vance and Rubio, asking his aides which of them he preferred to lead the party in the 2028 elections. However, this discussion has recently subsided as the president's confidence in his vice president's performance has grown. According to an insider, Trump no longer asks: “JDM Marco?” or “How is JD doing?” He even started saying, “JD looks great, doesn’t he?” The report suggests that the turning point in Vance’s career came in mid-June, when he participated with presidential envoys Kushner and Woitkoff in reaching a memorandum of understanding with Iran. During June alone, Vance gave 33 media interviews, including appearances on conservative and liberal programs, White House briefings, and meetings with journalists.
J.D. Vancealarabiya98%match41¢+20%
He gave 33 media interviews... Axios: Vance ousts Rubio from the race to succeed Trump... His success on the Iran issue boosted his popularity among Republicans US Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position within the Republican Party as the most prominent political heir to President Trump, according to a report by Axios The report indicated that Trump was constantly comparing Vance and Rubio, asking his aides which of them he preferred to lead the party in the 2028 elections, but this discussion has recently subsided as the president's confidence in his vice president's performance has grown. According to an insider, Trump no longer asks: "JDM Marco?" or "How's JD doing?" He even started saying, “JD looks great, doesn’t he?” The report suggests that the turning point in Vance’s career came in mid-June, when he participated with presidential envoys Kushner and Woitkoff in reaching a memorandum of understanding with Iran. During June alone, Vance gave 33 media interviews, including appearances on conservative and liberal programs, White House briefings, and meetings with journalists.
You Vote: With Tucker Carlson and Marjorie Taylor Greene ending support of GOP, what do you think?. • Carlson broke with the Trump administration over the war in Iran. He went viral on Monday over comments saying he would no longer support the party.
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Senate passes Iran war powers resolution in symbolic rebuke of Middle Eastern conflict. • Sens. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Susan Collins of Maine, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Bill Cassidy of Louisiana joined nearly every Senate Democrat to adopt the resolution in a 50-48 vote.
Tulsi Gabbardms.now99%match99¢
Tulsi Gabbard and Senate GOP face difficult new questions over influence of her ‘guru’
Marco Rubiofoxnews99%match79¢+6%
President Trump has repeatedly praised Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio for their work in the administration, and he’s also said that a joint ticket featuring the two of them would be unbeatable in 2028. • • Many voters are now asking will Rubio and Vance run for president? • • Our sponsor Kalshi’s prediction market shows there’s a 60.2% chance that they do. • •
Rand Paulsemafor.com99%match1¢-100%
Why Rand Paul subpoenaed Fauci
J.D. Vanceiranintl98%match64¢-20%
A national poll conducted by Atlas Intel between May 4 and 8 shows that US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has overtaken J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination for president in 2028. According to the poll, Rubio is leading with 45.4 percent support, while J.D. Vance has 29.6 percent of the vote. Ron DeSantis is in third place with 11.2 percent. The results represent a dramatic shift from five months ago, when Vance was leading with 46.7 percent and Rubio was at 22.6 percent. Rubio's surge in support reportedly came after a period of intense diplomatic activity, from Ukraine to Cuba to Iran.
J.D. Vanceiranintlbrk99%match64¢-20%
Marco Rubio has a lead over J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination in 2028, according to a national poll by Atlas Intel (May 4-8). Rubio has 45.4% support, Vance has 29.6%, and Ron DeSantis is third with 11.2%.
Ron DeSantisiranintlbrk99%match94¢+3%
Marco Rubio has a lead over J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination in 2028, according to a national poll by Atlas Intel (May 4-8). Rubio has 45.4% support, Vance has 29.6%, and Ron DeSantis is third with 11.2%.
VIVEK RAMASWAMY HAS WON THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY FOR OHIO GOVERNOR. • • 46% CHANCE HE WINS THE GENERAL ELECTION, PER POLYMARKET: ...

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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