Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance
Open$15.4Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 49% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES49¢
NO51¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump tells donors in private meeting: We want to elect Vance president in 2028
Tomer Almagor
Report in the Washington Post: President Donald Trump told donors in a private meeting in the Oval Office about two weeks ago that he wants to see his vice president, J.D. Vance, win the 2028 presidential election: "Ultimately, we have to elect J.D." Photo: Reuters
JD Vance, Trump's choice for the next term of the US presidency Elect JD (Vance); this has been Donald Trump's secret advice to the Republican Party's financial backers for the upcoming US presidential election. The Washington Post wrote that the US President told Republican financial backers in a private meeting about 2 weeks ago that we should ultimately elect JD. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
The Washington Post, citing informed sources: Trump has privately told donors to support Vance over Rubio in the 2028 presidential election Advisers warn that Trump's decision is not final; he is just enjoying the drama of the race Trump has decided that Vance will be the heir to the Republican Party Poor Republican performance could encourage rivals to compete against Trump's choice Rubio is avoiding any discussion about 2028 / election
The Washington Post revealed that US President Donald Trump told donors in private meetings that he wants to see his running mate, JD Vance, win the 2028 presidential election, a move seen as a sign that he is open to supporting him, despite some advisors believing Trump has not yet chosen his successor. According to the newspaper, Trump said during a meeting with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago, "Ultimately, we need to elect JD." This statement contradicts Trump's rhetoric last year, when he publicly encouraged competition between Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio for his endorsement, refusing to announce his preferred candidate to lead the party in the election. Despite praising Vance in front of donors, the newspaper quoted a White House official as saying that in recent weeks Trump has continued to ask his aides about the comparison between Vance and Rubio, while one of his advisors said he has secretly made his choice in favor of Vance, believing it is not yet time to announce it. He officially supported it. #AlMayadeen
The Washington Post reported that US President Donald Trump said in a private meeting with his donors: "Ultimately, we have to elect JD." The comment is a sign that he may support JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election.
YESNews92%match45¢+9%
*TRUMP TELLS DONORS ‘WE NEED TO ELECT' JD VANCE IN 2028: WAPO
He gave 33 media interviews… Axios: Vance ousts Rubio from the race to succeed Trump… His success on the Iran issue boosted his popularity among Republicans US Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position within the Republican Party as the most prominent political heir to President Trump, according to a report by Axios. The report indicated that Trump was constantly comparing Vance and Rubio, asking his aides which of them he preferred to lead the party in the 2028 elections. However, this discussion has recently subsided as the president's confidence in his vice president's performance has grown. According to an insider, Trump no longer asks: “JDM Marco?” or “How is JD doing?” He even started saying, “JD looks great, doesn’t he?” The report suggests that the turning point in Vance’s career came in mid-June, when he participated with presidential envoys Kushner and Woitkoff in reaching a memorandum of understanding with Iran. During June alone, Vance gave 33 media interviews, including appearances on conservative and liberal programs, White House briefings, and meetings with journalists.
He gave 33 media interviews... Axios: Vance ousts Rubio from the race to succeed Trump... His success on the Iran issue boosted his popularity among Republicans US Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position within the Republican Party as the most prominent political heir to President Trump, according to a report by Axios The report indicated that Trump was constantly comparing Vance and Rubio, asking his aides which of them he preferred to lead the party in the 2028 elections, but this discussion has recently subsided as the president's confidence in his vice president's performance has grown. According to an insider, Trump no longer asks: "JDM Marco?" or "How's JD doing?" He even started saying, “JD looks great, doesn’t he?” The report suggests that the turning point in Vance’s career came in mid-June, when he participated with presidential envoys Kushner and Woitkoff in reaching a memorandum of understanding with Iran. During June alone, Vance gave 33 media interviews, including appearances on conservative and liberal programs, White House briefings, and meetings with journalists.
A national poll conducted by Atlas Intel between May 4 and 8 shows that US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has overtaken J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination for president in 2028. According to the poll, Rubio is leading with 45.4 percent support, while J.D. Vance has 29.6 percent of the vote. Ron DeSantis is in third place with 11.2 percent. The results represent a dramatic shift from five months ago, when Vance was leading with 46.7 percent and Rubio was at 22.6 percent. Rubio's surge in support reportedly came after a period of intense diplomatic activity, from Ukraine to Cuba to Iran.
Marco Rubio has a lead over J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination in 2028, according to a national poll by Atlas Intel (May 4-8). Rubio has 45.4% support, Vance has 29.6%, and Ron DeSantis is third with 11.2%.
Rubio has said he would not challenge Vance for the nomination. • • And JD Vance still remains a top contender. He leads in polling, is also serious about policy and has a wealth of allies inside and outside of the admin including Don Jr. and the deep-pocketed Elon Musk.
Vance appears at secretive donor summit as 2028 presidential speculation grows
FLORIDA MAN RISING: Vice President JD Vance remains the clear frontrunner in a hypothetical 2028 election, but Secretary of State Marco Rubio is on the rise, finishing second in the Republican nomination straw poll at CPAC. • • President Trump has promoted an "unstoppable" Vance-Rubio 2028 pairing—but has not said who should be on top of the ticket.
Rubio gains early momentum in hypothetical 2028 GOP primary race as Vance remains front-runner
Vance Tops CPAC Straw Poll For 2028 GOP Presidential Nominee
YESReuters99%match37¢+32%
Corrected- Vice President JD Vance Wins Cpac Straw Poll for 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee with 53% of Vote (Corrects Percentage)
YESNews98%match39¢+26%
Vice President JD Vance is set to prioritize fundraising over the next few weeks. Vance, the Republican National Committee finance chair and a likely 2028 presidential candidate, is to headline at least two RNC fundraisers — a dinner in Austin on March 23 and a lunch in Nashville on March 30, according to invites seen by The Times. Tickets go for between $50,000 and $250,000.
YESIndependent Reporter98%match39¢+26%
A few recent stories (NBC, WSJ) suggest @realdonaldtrump is asking donors who’d be better for 2028 — @JDVance or @marcorubio . • • Looks like @Polymarket traders are taking note... (See below) • • Vance still ahead, with folks saying he has a 21% chance of winning the nomination. • • Rubio at just under 14%. • • I admit, I’m looking at these numbers and chuckling. No one loves a palace intrigue story more than me — but it's very hard for me to see the base naming anyone other than Vance for 2028. • • Also hard for me to see Rubio running against him. They're actually friends. Probably future running mates.
NOPOLITICO99%match48¢+6%
Young Trump supporters may not be all that enamored with JD Vance as they weigh their 2028 options. A recent focus group of 18- to 24-year-old Trump voters suggests weaknesses for Vance among young Republicans.
Where does the news lean?
56YES16NO29neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 63% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.