Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Ron DeSantis
Open$15.5Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Marco Rubio has a lead over J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination in 2028, according to a national poll by Atlas Intel (May 4-8). Rubio has 45.4% support, Vance has 29.6%, and Ron DeSantis is third with 11.2%.
NOPolymarket98%match97¢
[Replying to @FoxNews] @FoxNews 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee odds: Vance - 49% Rubio - 12% Trump - 5% DeSantis - 3% > REPORTER: “The vice president got booed during the opening ceremony. What do you make of that frosty reception?” PRESIDENT TRUMP: “That's surprising because people like him. Well, I mean, he is in a foreign country, you know, in all fairness. He doesn't get booed in this…
Where does the news lean?
1YES3NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.