Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Elon Musk
Open$28.9Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESThe Wall Street Journal99%match1¢
Elon Musk is opening his wallet and reigniting his political apparatus for the 2026 midterm elections, signaling a return to the political arena
Where does the news lean?
5YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.