Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Marco Rubio
Open$10.4Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 16% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES16¢
NO84¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
President Trump has repeatedly praised Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio for their work in the administration, and he’s also said that a joint ticket featuring the two of them would be unbeatable in 2028. • • Many voters are now asking will Rubio and Vance run for president? • • Our sponsor Kalshi’s prediction market shows there’s a 60.2% chance that they do. • •
FLORIDA MAN RISING: Vice President JD Vance remains the clear frontrunner in a hypothetical 2028 election, but Secretary of State Marco Rubio is on the rise, finishing second in the Republican nomination straw poll at CPAC. • • President Trump has promoted an "unstoppable" Vance-Rubio 2028 pairing—but has not said who should be on top of the ticket.
YESUkrainian Media99%match26¢-38%
War in the Middle East has boosted Marco Rubio's chances of succeeding Donald Trump in 2028, — NBC News According to NBC, Trump informally surveyed his inner circle and Republican donors about who they would like to see as the presidential candidate in 2028 - current Vice President Jay Dee Vance or Secretary of State Marco Rubio. At a meeting at Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate in late February, attended by 25 major Republican donors, Rubio won near-unanimous support. This was due to Rubio's increased public visibility amid active US foreign policy actions from Venezuela to Iran. At the same time, it is too early to say that Rubio will become the next presidential candidate, as Vance maintains a strong lead over him in polls among MAGA voters.
YESPolymarket98%match14¢+14%
BREAKING: Gavin Newsom & Marco Rubio surge in 2028 Presidential Election odds, as VP Vance & AOC fall.
YESBloomberg98%match12¢+33%
Marco Rubio was once seen as ill-suited to an “America First” agenda. Now he’s one of Trump’s most powerful advisers — and is trying to make neocon ideas MAGA-friendly.
NOPolymarket98%match88¢-5%
[Replying to @FoxNews] @FoxNews 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee odds: Vance - 49% Rubio - 12% Trump - 5% DeSantis - 3% > REPORTER: “The vice president got booed during the opening ceremony. What do you make of that frosty reception?” PRESIDENT TRUMP: “That's surprising because people like him. Well, I mean, he is in a foreign country, you know, in all fairness. He doesn't get booed in this…
NOLeading Report99%match88¢-5%
BREAKING: President Trump says a JD Vance/Marco Rubio ticket would be hard to beat for 2028.
YESPolymarket99%match12¢+33%
[Replying to @Breaking911] @Breaking911 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee odds: J.D. Vance - 50% Marco Rubio - 12% Donald Trump - 5% > VP Vance jokes about the many jobs Secretary of State Marco Rubio has.
YESPolymarket98%match14¢+14%
BREAKING: Marco Rubio’s presidential odds jump from 4% to 7%, after his capture of Venezuela's dictator Maduro. 2028 Presidential Odds:
– JD Vance: 31%
- Gavin Newsom: 18%
- AOC: 8%
- Marco Rubio: 7%
- Donald Trump: 3%
YESLeading Report99%match14¢+14%
BREAKING: Marco Rubio’s 2028 presidential odds have nearly doubled since the capture of Nicolas Maduro.
YESBreaking91199%match14¢+14%
BREAKING: Marco Rubio’s odds to win the 2028 Presidential Election surge to 7% on Polymarket following the successful U.S. capture of Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro – a key Trump admin foreign policy win led by SecState Rubio. [Quoting @Polymarket]
> BREAKING: Marco Rubio’s presidential odds jump from 4% to 7%, after his capture of Venezuela's dictator Maduro. 2028 Presidential Odds:
– JD Vance: 31%
- Gavin Newsom: 18%
- AOC: 8%
- Marco Rubio: 7%
- Donald Trump: 3%
YESLeading Report98%match14¢+14%
BREAKING: Marco Rubio’s presidential odds jump from 4% to 7%, after his capture of Venezuela's dictator Maduro. 2028 Presidential Odds:
– JD Vance: 31%
- Gavin Newsom: 18%
- AOC: 8%
- Marco Rubio: 7%
- Donald Trump: 3%
NOBreaking91199%match91¢-8%
Marco Rubio said that if JD Vance runs for president in 2028, “he’ll be our nominee… and I’ll be one of the first people to support him.
Where does the news lean?
11YES5NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.