Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Thomas Massie
Open$6.0Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOPOLITICO98%match99¢
[Replying to @politico] Massie joined several other Republicans recently to buck Trump and Johnson on legislation that would block some of the president's tariffs. His prediction for GOP leadership in the coming months: “I think you’re going to see more defections.” > Thomas Massie has gone toe-to-toe with Donald Trump, Mike Johnson and Pam Bondi — and he says there’s more to come. The rebel Republican shares his ominous prediction for the GOP, his strategy to dig even deeper into the Epstein files and more
Where does the news lean?
0YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.