Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Donald Trump
Open$9.5Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US President Donald Trump announces his intention to run "again" in the next presidential election. — This came during a speech he delivered at the annual White House Correspondents' Association dinner at a Washington hotel.
Trump announces he will run for president again Donald Trump: "I'll do it again. It should be easy. I've gotten really good at running for president. I won three times. The second time the election was rigged." Trump continued his speech wearing a hat labeled Trump-2028 nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
NOPolymarket98%match96¢+2%
[Replying to @rawsalerts] @rawsalerts 2028 Presidential Election Winner: Vance - 25% Harris - 4% Trump - 3% > #BREAKING: CNN’s top analysis shows that in a hypothetical rematch between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, Kamala Harris would now beat Trump
YESAcyn98%match5¢-60%
Republican candidate for governor in Pennsylvania says she would work with Trump to help “nationalize” elections
NOPolymarket98%match95¢+3%
[Replying to @FoxNews] @FoxNews 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee odds: Vance - 49% Rubio - 12% Trump - 5% DeSantis - 3% > REPORTER: “The vice president got booed during the opening ceremony. What do you make of that frosty reception?” PRESIDENT TRUMP: “That's surprising because people like him. Well, I mean, he is in a foreign country, you know, in all fairness. He doesn't get booed in this…
NOPolymarket98%match95¢+3%
[Replying to @Breaking911] @Breaking911 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee odds: J.D. Vance - 50% Marco Rubio - 12% Donald Trump - 5% > VP Vance jokes about the many jobs Secretary of State Marco Rubio has.
YESCGTN America99%match4¢-50%
U.S. President Donald Trump has once again mentioned the idea of running for president in the 2028 elections.
NOAxios98%match96¢+2%
Trump and his allies have been increasingly angry with Sen. Josh Hawley recently, miffed by some moves the Missouri Republican has made in laying the groundwork for a possible 2028 bid for president.
YESunusual_whales99%match4¢-50%
Trump asks if he should try for a fourth term:
NOPolymarket98%match95¢+3%
JUST IN: Trump advisor claims a third term may not be unconstitutional. Trump is now the third most likely GOP nominee.
NOThe Economist99%match95¢+3%
The real test is likely to come in 2028, when a new Republican presidential nominee will have to try to piece Donald Trump’s coalition of lower-turnout groups back together
Where does the news lean?
12YES9NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.