Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
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Market pricing makes Netanyahu - Israel PM the favorite at 43% across 22 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, led the Council of Ministers two months after the June 24 earthquakes. #Venezuela #DelcyRodríguez #teleSUR
Argentine President Javier Milei announced his candidacy for the presidential elections scheduled for October 2027. In an interview with Radio Mitre, he stated that his goal is to continue with economic and political reforms. What do you think? #teleSUR #Argentina #JavierMilei
Poll: Majority expects Merz to leave office as Chancellor prematurely
YouGov poll: Majority of Germans expect Merz to be replaced prematurely
Prime Minister Takaichi is planning a cabinet reshuffle and LDP executive appointments for "mid-to-late next month".
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu passes the "strength test" in the Knesset primaries. The results maintain his influence within Likud while sidelining his rivals, and Ben-Gvir announces his support for some candidates despite being outside the party.
Aurélien Taché (LFI): "I think Sébastien Lecornu will be ousted in the coming weeks over the budget, or perhaps even before."
75 days to the election: Trump still not ready to bet on Netanyahu When Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump met in the Oval Office two weeks ago, the American president asked the Israeli prime minister how he was doing in the polls ahead of the October 27 elections. Netanyahu paused. Then one of his advisers intervened. “Mr. President, he’s winning,” the adviser said, according to a senior American official familiar with the conversation. Why is this important: According to the vast majority of polls right now, Netanyahu is not winning. The American president and his advisers know this. So far, Trump has not given Netanyahu the public support he hopes to receive, despite being asked about it repeatedly by reporters. The president can still change his mind. But with only 75 days left until the election, time is running out for Netanyahu. The situation: In the early weeks of the war with Iran, some of Trump's closest advisers were convinced that Trump would support Netanyahu in the election. At that time, Trump loudly called for Netanyahu to be granted a pardon that would bring an end to his criminal trial. But as time passed and the war became more complicated, Trump and Netanyahu's foreign policy interests - and also their domestic political interests - began to drift apart. In the last three months, more and more gaps have opened up between them - not only around Iran, but also regarding Lebanon and Gaza. Two senior American officials said that Trump likes Netanyahu on a personal level, but is frustrated with his decisions and policies. "Bibi is his own worst enemy," Trump said, according to two people who spoke with him recently about Netanyahu. focusing on: The last event that caused Trump to make this statement about Netanyahu was the prime minister's announcement in which he rejected the Peace Council's plan to disarm Hamas. A senior American official said that the White House viewed Netanyahu's statement on Sunday as part of election-period politics, and not necessarily as a policy statement. "We understand Bibi's political needs. We have no problem with that as long as he continues to do what we ask - especially with regard to curbing the attacks in Gaza," the senior official said. Netanyahu spoke by phone last week with Trump's envoy, Jared Kushner, and promised to give the peace council plan a chance, despite his skepticism. A senior US official said Netanyahu also pledged to reduce attacks on Gaza to allow the demilitarization process to begin. Since then, Israel has carried out far fewer attacks on the Gaza Strip, and the IDF has withdrawn back to the "yellow line" - the place where it was supposed to be deployed according to the agreement. Kushner plans to arrive in Israel next week to meet with Netanyahu and other senior officials and discuss the plan for Gaza. behind the scenes: Several of Netanyahu's political rivals — including Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid — have expressed concern that Trump would support Netanyahu, some of their advisers said. According to two sources familiar with the matter, several opposition leaders have conveyed messages to Trump and his people through unofficial channels through mutual friends, donors and other political allies, asking him to remain neutral. A former American official, who was briefed on the details, claimed that Netanyahu's weakness in the polls is one of the reasons Trump is hesitant to intervene in his favor in the elections at this stage. Yes, but: Trump previously enjoyed enormous popularity in Israel, but in the last three months his standing has eroded following the agreement he signed with Iran and his decision to withdraw from the war after the agreement was violated. Many Israelis also expressed displeasure with the restrictions Trump imposed on Israel's military activity in Iran, Gaza, Syria, and Lebanon. What does he say: In the past four weeks, Trump has been asked four times by reporters whether he supports Netanyahu. Each time, he has avoided giving an affirmative answer. “Is there anyone in Israel who is better suited for the job than Bibi?” radio host Hugh Hewitt asked Trump last month. Trump evaded the answer Hewitt expected. "I don't know most of the others. I know some of them, of course, but I don't know most of them," Trump replied, referring to Netanyahu's opponents. In several recent interviews, Trump praised Netanyahu as "an excellent prime minister in wartime," but each time he spoke of him in the past tense. Israeli sources said that in his last meeting with Netanyahu, Trump again raised, in a private conversation, the idea of pardoning the prime minister, but he has not addressed it publicly in months. Why to pay attention: The elections in Israel are of crucial importance in terms of Trump's agenda in the Middle East in the last two years of his term, especially when the crisis with Iran is in a state of "no deal, no war." Trump also wants to advance his peace plan for Gaza, achieve progress in negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, complete a security agreement between Israel and Syria, and most importantly, broker a historic peace agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia. Trump and his people still carry with them the trauma of the political crisis in Israel in 2019, which led to three consecutive election campaigns and wasted an entire year of American diplomacy in the Middle East. A senior American official said that the White House will not repeat past mistakes and will not allow internal Israeli politics to hinder its regional agenda.
Pedro Sanchez is stubbornly clinging on to power
Exclusive: Mazloum Abdi and Elham Ahmad are in Damascus now. They will meet with Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani. If things go according to plan, President Ahmad al-Sharaa will resign. Abdi and Ahmad will meet in the presence of al-Shaibani. Discussions will focus on the implementation of the agreement between the government and the SDF, signed at the end of January 2026. The official dissolution of the SDF will be announced. The transition to the second phase will then take place.
In Germany, the resignation of Chancellor Friedrich Merz is being discussed against the backdrop of the upcoming elections. This was reported by Der Spiegel, citing sources in the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). According to them, the issue could be raised after the September elections to the parliaments of three federal states: Berlin, Saxony-Anhalt, and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. According to polls cited by the publication, the results could be unfavorable for the CDU. After the elections, according to the publication's sources, the prime ministers of these states may approach Merz with an offer to leave the post of chancellor. Sources name Hendrik Wüst, Prime Minister of North Rhine-Westphalia, as a possible successor. Sebastian Gollnow / Reuters Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
German media predict that Merz could leave his post in September. Thus, Germany is desperate to enter the competition with Great Britain for the number of leaders who have not completed their terms. Yunashev LIVE is now also on MAX Ask a question
Merz may leave his post as German Chancellor in September
Live: Albanese goes on one week of leave Prime minister Anthony Albanese is taking a week of leave, his office has announced, with Richard Marles acting in his stead.
Friedrich Merz's new cabinet is in place – this is what happens next in political Berlin
Netanyahu won by six votes
Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, presided over the awarding of insignia to 19,000 members of the Bolivarian National Armed Forces on July 24. "This is not a mere formality, it is a recognition of merit," she stated, and called for continued tireless work for the Venezuelan people.
Polymarket projects Benjamin Netanyahu will not be the next Prime Minister of Israel. • • 64% chance of losing — Polymarket
63% chance Benjamin Netanyahu will not be Israel's next Prime Minister.
Is Israel nearing the end of the Netanyahu era? Al Jazeera: Netanyahu's tightening control over the Likud party's electoral list, maintaining an alliance with the Haredi parties, accelerating the passage of controversial laws, making long-term appointments to sensitive institutions, and even providing permanent security arrangements for his family members all indicate a change in his political calculations. "Yossi Werter," a senior analyst for the Haaretz newspaper, wrote in a note that Netanyahu is aware of the difficulty of achieving a Knesset majority in the upcoming elections and is willing to pay the price of electoral defeat to maintain the cohesion of the right-wing bloc. @IRNA_1313
Israel is preparing for its first parliamentary elections since the wars with Hamas and Iran. On July 17, the Israeli parliament, the Knesset, was dissolved, and the country has effectively begun preparations for the next elections. They are scheduled for October 27. For the first time in 40 years, the Knesset has served a full four-year term without calling early elections—the last time this happened was in 1988. And Benjamin Netanyahu's government, formed on December 29, 2022, after the collapse of the coalition of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, will go down in history as the first cabinet in half a century to serve the entire mandated period. Will Benjamin Netanyahu be able to retain power, who is considered his main rival, and what topics will be central to the campaign—read the RBC article. RBC Channel on "Max"
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Netanyahu's government is "transitional"... Dissolving the Knesset paves the way for "difficult" elections The Israeli Knesset approved its own dissolution in preparation for the general elections to be held on October 27th Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana from the Likud party: — This was the most challenging Knesset session in its history, and we are entering an election campaign characterized by escalating tensions and clashes of ideas Haaretz newspaper: — Netanyahu's term was "the most damaging in Israel's history" — As long as Netanyahu's government, one of the country's most destructive leaders, remains, there is no peace — We are glad to be rid of them, and we are glad to have dissolved this Knesset
Israeli parliament dissolved; Netanyahu's future in power is the main focus of the general election in October.
Japan: Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's popularity falls below 50% for the first time
"Rather an incentive to continue the work," says Merz regarding his dramatic drop in the polls.
Israel to hold general election on October 27; the focus is on whether Prime Minister Netanyahu will remain in power.
Israel sets election date – according to polls, Netanyahu faces the prospect of losing his majority.
Live: Where is the new supreme leader?
Delcy Rodríguez announces public-private partnership for a new stage of development in Venezuela The acting president of Venezuela, Delcy Rodríguez, announced a partnership between the public and private sectors to consolidate a new stage focused on the country's sustainable development.
Prime Minister's Office: Netanyahu and Trump spoke and agreed to meet soon in the United States.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.