Next leader out of power before 2027?Abbas - President of Palestine
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The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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21 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Palestinian President Postpones Legislative Elections to September 2027 Mahmoud Abbas issues a decree to hold simultaneous presidential and legislative elections on September 11, 2027 The decree cancels the previous date for the legislative elections, set for November 28, 2026, according to the Wafa news agency. The decision came after national consultations regarding the obstacles imposed by Israeli measures on holding the elections on their previous date. The continued Israeli attacks, settlement expansion, settler terrorism, and incursions in the occupied West Bank, and the exceptional security and humanitarian conditions in the Gaza Strip, are among the most prominent obstacles to holding the elections.
First European reaction: France’s 'regrets' Palestinian Authority President Abbas’s decision to postpone general elections yet again • • "France deplores the announcement by the President of the State of Palestine of the postponement to September 2027 of the legislative elections scheduled for November 28, 2026, as well as the presidential election that was to be held in early 2027. • • Twenty years after the last national elections in Palestine, and five years after the postponement of the legislative elections scheduled for 2021, this decision once again deprives the Palestinian people of their right to express themselves democratically at the ballot box. • • It is urgent to restore their voice and allow them to choose their representatives through free and transparent elections, as President Abbas pledged. This is essential for respecting the democratic principles that underpin the State of Palestine, which France has recognized. It is also essential for the Palestinian leadership to carry, with renewed legitimacy, the aspirations of the Palestinian people for dignity, freedom, and self-determination. In this sense, Palestinian democratic renewal is inseparable from preserving the two-state solution, to which France remains steadfastly committed. • • For all these reasons, France calls on the Palestinian authorities to reconsider their decision and to organize legislative and presidential elections throughout Palestine as soon as possible. • • France is ready, in conjunction with its European partners, to support the smooth progress of this process, including within the framework of the European Union election observation mission launched at its request. It remains prepared to support efforts to consolidate the institutions of the State of Palestine, provided that the commitments made within the framework of recognition are upheld. It will remain fully committed to supporting the Palestinian people and ensuring that their rights are respected."
New York Times: Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas had set November 28 as the date for legislative elections, following pressure from Western allies, including France and Canada, to implement reforms. However, critics believed from the outset that Abbas, 90, would not actually hold elections that could threaten his grip on power. On Saturday, Abbas issued a formal decree postponing the scheduled elections to September 11, 2027. For the first time in years, Abbas also announced that presidential elections would be held on the same date. Abbas's office attributed the postponement to Israeli restrictions, as well as the deteriorating situation in the Gaza Strip. Opinion polls regularly show that a large majority of Palestinians are calling for Mahmoud Abbas's resignation. #AlMayadeen
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas's advisor, Mahmoud al-Habash, told Al-Hadath: "We are forced to postpone the elections due to Israeli obstruction... and there are no guarantees they will be held in September 2027."
Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas on Saturday postponed legislative elections to September next year, official media said, confirming widespread speculation that they would be delayed once again. • •
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas postpones legislative elections and issues a decree to hold presidential and legislative elections in September 2027.
Why is Mahmoud Abbas postponing the Palestinian elections until September 2027? A look at the political calculations. #AlArabyToday
Now with the file: Abbas officially announced the postponement of the Palestinian parliamentary elections to September 11, 2027 - which will be held according to the decision along with the PA presidential elections. Not surprising, but I must say that several international sources have recently claimed in closed discussions that this time it sounds serious based on talks with the PA. Well.
Palestinian News Agency: Abbas issues decree postponing elections and sets date for presidential and legislative elections on September 11, 2027 @SoniaElwafi
Palestine: Mahmoud Abbas postpones elections to 2027
Mahmoud Abbas postpones Palestinian elections to September 2027 The head of the Palestinian Authority stated that due to political and security obstacles in Jerusalem, the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, the presidential and parliamentary elections have been postponed and the new date for these elections has been set for September 2027. The official Palestinian news agency Wafa reported that the aim of this decision is to provide a basis for a comprehensive national dialogue, strengthen national unity and territorial integrity and the Palestinian political system, and address the obstacles facing the electoral process, which have made citizen participation in various regions difficult. Get the latest news:
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FWD from Fars International and Foreign Policy: Mahmoud Abbas postpones Palestinian elections to September 2027 The head of the Palestinian Authority stated that due to political and security obstacles in Jerusalem, the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, the presidential and parliamentary elections have been postponed and the new date for these elections has been set for September 2027. The official Palestinian news agency Wafa reported that the aim of this decision is to provide a basis for a comprehensive national dialogue, strengthen national unity and territorial integrity and the Palestinian political system, and address the obstacles facing the electoral process, which have made citizen participation in various regions difficult.
@FarsNewsInt - Link
Abbas delays Palestinian elections to 2027, marking 20 years without a vote
Abbas postpones Palestinian elections, sets presidential poll for September 2027
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas issued a presidential decree today calling for simultaneous presidential and legislative elections on September 11, 2027, rescinding Decree No. (4) of 2026, which had set November 28, 2026, for legislative elections.
#Live | Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas issues a decree postponing elections and sets September 11, 2027 as the date for holding them
The Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, has issued a decree postponing the legislative elections scheduled for November 28, 2026, and calling for simultaneous presidential and legislative elections on September 11, 2027.
PA President Cancels Palestinian Parliamentary Elections / New Election Date Set for September 11, 2027 The official Palestinian news agency announced that PA President Mahmoud Abbas issued a decree canceling the parliamentary elections previously scheduled for November 28, 2026, and simultaneously setting September 11 as the date for presidential and parliamentary elections. @YjcNewsChannel
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas issues a decree postponing elections and sets September 11, 2027 as the new date.
The Palestinian president postpones the presidential and legislative elections to September 2027
NOReuters96%match97¢+2%
Palestinian President Abbas Sets Presidential and Legislative Elections for September 11, 2027 - State News Agency
Where does the news lean?
0YES57NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 91% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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