Next leader out of power before 2027?al-Sharaa - Syria President
Open$28Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa told the UN General Assembly that Syria had begun the path of reconstruction, had brought weapons under control, and had rebuilt military and civilian institutions. He said that Syria had faced 500 airstrikes, more than 1,200 infiltrations, and 300 arrests.
Emphasizing Damascus's adherence to the 1974 agreement, al-Sharaa called for the withdrawal of Israeli forces to the lines by December 8, 2024, and rejected Israel's attempts to "impose the status quo."
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa: I will be among the presidential candidates if serving Syria requires me to continue in my position... and the presidency has not been our goal for 20 years as much as serving the people and lifting injustice from them. #From_the_Event
Where does the news lean?
1YES7NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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