Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?Marco Rubio
ResolvedOutcome: No$19Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
According to these sources, in contrast, Marco Rubio, John Ratcliffe, Director of the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), and Pete Hegsett, US Secretary of War, were skeptical about the memorandum and the possibility of turning it into a comprehensive nuclear agreement.
FWD from Fars International and Foreign Policy: Rubio: The Memorandum of Understanding with Iran is just a piece of paper While it was Donald Trump who tore up the JCPOA and withdrew from it, now officials from the second administration of this president have admitted that the JCPOA "was a real agreement" and that the new memorandum of understanding with Iran is not comparable to the JCPOA signed during the Barack Obama era. US Congressman Kamlagar Dow has revealed parts of yesterday's telephone conversation between US Secretary of State Marco Rubio about the Iran-US memorandum of understanding. According to the American representative, Rubio emphasized in this telephone conversation that "this memorandum of understanding is just a signed piece of paper that says we will continue to talk about talking." @FarsNewsInt - Link
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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