Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?Abbas Araghchi
ResolvedOutcome: No$181Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Referring to Ali Khamenei's funeral, Abbas Araghchi, the Foreign Minister of the Islamic Republic, wrote on the X social network that the participants in the ceremony and the armed forces of the Islamic Republic are not afraid of any threat. He added: "Paragraph 13 of the memorandum of understanding is completely clear and explicit: As long as the threats against the Islamic Republic continue, negotiations to reach a final agreement will not begin. Adhere to your signature."
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.