Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani RiverMarch 31
Open$136as of
Odds now
The market prices a 22% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES22¢
NO78¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
0YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
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See all outcomes for Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.