Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani RiverJuly 31

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$252KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOaljazeera.com93%match96¢+4%
Live: Questions remain over when Israel will fully withdraw from Lebanon
NOiran__7vwd93%match96¢+4%
Question: When will the Israeli army complete its withdrawal from Lebanon? Trump: "They are in the process of withdrawing. They are redeploying to other areas, and again, things are going very well for them. It was an excellent agreement signed with Lebanon, and they are in the process of redeploying."
NOChannel 12 (N12)92%match96¢+4%
Nir Dvori As we published in Ulpan Friday: The Lebanese Army entered Randouria over the weekend and yesterday and today the villages of Peron and Serifa. This morning the IDF withdrew from Awtar al-Gharbiyeh, which is inside the Yellow Line - this is the first withdrawal.
NOIran Semi-Official SNN91%match96¢+4%
Israeli army claims to have begun a pilot program for partial withdrawal from Lebanon The Israeli army claimed on Monday that it had begun a pilot program and, based on it, had handed over control of three villages in southern Lebanon to the Lebanese Armed Forces. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
NOcnn.com92%match96¢+4%
Live: Israeli military launches "pilot program" for partial withdrawal in Lebanon
NOaljazeera.com92%match96¢+4%
Live: Israeli forces yet to withdraw from southern Lebanese town, says official
NOAl Araby91%match98¢+2%
Israeli Broadcasting Authority: The Israeli army will withdraw from Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and al-Gharbiyah only, based on understandings with Lebanon.
NOKan Reporter92%match98¢+2%
Contrary to yesterday's report on one of the news channels, the pilot in southern Lebanon has not yet begun. In recent hours, from conversations with followers, I realized that it is necessary to explain a little more about the withdrawal pilot and where it is supposed to take place. According to the understandings with Lebanon, the IDF will withdraw its forces from only one area (yes, only one), one area in the Nabatiyeh district where there are two small, adjacent villages, Zutar a-Gharbiyyah and Zutar a-Sharqiya. We can call them the "Zutars". There are currently IDF forces in this area, they will withdraw, and the Lebanese army will enter. Another area in the pilot is the village of Peron/Randouria. The IDF did not operate in this place, which is west of the Yellow Line, and therefore IDF forces are not supposed to withdraw from there. The Lebanese army is in control there and as part of the pilot, it will be allowed to begin scanning for Hezbollah infrastructure. In the Peron (Randouria) area, where the IDF did not operate on the ground, there is Hezbollah infrastructure that the Lebanese army will have to destroy. This is essentially the first test for the Lebanese army as part of the new pilot. Israel demanded in its negotiations with Lebanon in the US that the one who would define that the area is free of Hezbollah infrastructure be a third party - that is, the Americans. This is different from the previous implementation mechanism in which the Lebanese army itself declared the area free of Hezbollah despite the situation on the ground.
NON13/Kan Reporters93%match98¢+2%
Contrary to yesterday's report on one of the news channels, the pilot in southern Lebanon has not yet begun. In recent hours, from conversations with followers and the curious, I realized that it is necessary to explain a little more about the withdrawal pilot and where it is supposed to take place. According to the understandings with Lebanon, the IDF will withdraw its forces from only one area (yes, only one), one area in the Nabatiyeh district where there are two small, adjacent villages, Zutar a-Gharbiyyah and Zutar a-Sharqiya. We can call them the "Zutars". There are currently IDF forces in this area, they will withdraw, and the Lebanese army will enter. Another area in the pilot is the village of Peron/Randouria. The IDF did not operate in this place, which is west of the Yellow Line, and therefore IDF forces are not supposed to withdraw from there. The Lebanese army is in control there and as part of the pilot, it will be allowed to begin scanning for Hezbollah infrastructure. In the Peron (Randouria) area, where the IDF did not operate on the ground, there is Hezbollah infrastructure that the Lebanese army will have to destroy. This is essentially the first test for the Lebanese army as part of the new pilot. Israel demanded in its negotiations with Lebanon in the US that the one who would define that the area is free of Hezbollah infrastructure be a third party - that is, the Americans. This is different from the previous implementation mechanism in which the Lebanese army itself declared the area free of Hezbollah despite the situation on the ground.
YESalhadath92%match3¢-100%
A diplomatic source told Al-Hadath: Israel begins withdrawing from occupied areas in southern Lebanon under the Rome Agreement... Implementation will extend from today until next Sunday.
NOGalatz Reporter99%match98¢+2%
3/ We crossed the Litani the way the IDF forces crossed it - using cylindrical crossings built by the engineering forces. Even in July, the river is flowing - and on the long drive along it, it is easy to get confused and forget that this is a war zone, which until recently was an active battlefield. Crossing the Litani was one of the key points in the maneuver - after failing in the first crossing attempt >>

Where does the news lean?

14YES16NO15neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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