Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River
Open5as of
Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 12% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
The Israeli newspaper Maariv reported that Israel does not intend to withdraw from the Ali Taher Heights area in southern Lebanon, despite American pressure to continue the withdrawal. This stance contradicts a Washington-sponsored negotiation process aimed at completing the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanese territory.
Sky News Arabi, citing Lebanese military sources, announced that no new test zones will be established in southern Lebanon at this time, and that Israeli forces will not withdraw. After the Lebanese Army Commander met with Joseph Clearfield, a senior American general, it was agreed that coordination would continue under the current circumstances.
Sky News Arabi, citing Lebanese military sources, announced that no new test zones will be established in southern Lebanon at this time, and that Israeli forces will not withdraw. After the Lebanese Army Commander met with Joseph Clearfield, a senior American general, it was agreed that coordination would continue under the current circumstances.
The White House disapproves of a possible permanent Israeli military presence in Lebanon, Axios reports, citing a US State Department official. On June 26, Israel and Lebanon signed a framework agreement under which the IDF will begin withdrawing troops from Lebanese territory. As part of the pilot program, the Lebanese army will occupy two zones on either side of the Litani River. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz previously stated that the country would not withdraw from southern Lebanon, even if the US demanded it. It has been repeatedly emphasized that the IDF's primary goal is to destroy Hezbollah, whose members are primarily located in southern Lebanon. The US administration opposed this decision. "A permanent military presence in southern Lebanon is incompatible with the commitments outlined in the agreement or with the long-term peace and security of both states," Axios journalist Barak Ravid quotes a US State Department official. More IZ RU news in MAX
The Israeli army announces the withdrawal of the Golani reconnaissance unit from Beaufort Castle in southern Lebanon after 50 days of operations.
Lebanese media: The next round is expected to take place on September 1, and that until then there will be no further Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon.
Live: Lebanon-Israel talks will likely not lead to further Israeli withdrawals
According to Sadaf Baghbani, a correspondent for Iran International, the seventh round of Lebanon-Israel talks was held in Rome on Tuesday, August 4, and this time hosted by Italy; previous rounds were mediated by the United States. The Lebanese government is demanding a complete withdrawal of Israeli forces from southern Lebanon, and Israel says that before withdrawing, it must ensure that these areas are cleared of Hezbollah weapons. According to the latest reports, the issue of the land border between the two countries has also been put on the agenda for the first time with Israel’s consent. Hezbollah’s Secretary General accused the Lebanese government of moving in line with Israel’s demands instead of Lebanon’s interests.
Israel withdraws 401st Brigade from southern Lebanon — The Israeli army announced on Sunday the withdrawal of the 401st Armored Brigade from southern Lebanon after eight months of military operations in the Arab country, during which nine officers and soldiers of the brigade were killed.
Two weeks after the initial agreement between Lebanon and Israel, brokered by the United States, the process of gradually withdrawing Israeli forces from southern Lebanon in exchange for Hezbollah's disarmament has slowly begun. The first phase of the plan was implemented in the village of West Zoutar after weeks of negotiations and several days of military operations, but Hezbollah continues to refuse to hand over its weapons. Iran International correspondent May Farhat reports.
Political sources told Al-Jadeed: There are no indications of a complete Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, as the Israeli army will remain inside the Green Line, while the Rome negotiations proceed cautiously and Israel continues its military operations on the ground.
Political sources told Al-Jadeed: There are no indications of a complete Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, as the Israeli army will remain inside the Green Line, while the Rome negotiations proceed cautiously and Israel continues its military operations on the ground.
Live: In pictures: South Lebanon residents await next steps as Israeli forces withdraw
Is Israel transferring its “gradual withdrawal strategy” from the West Bank to Lebanon?
Live: Israeli military fires near Lebanese forces in southern Lebanon as withdrawal begins
Live: Questions remain over when Israel will fully withdraw from Lebanon
Question: When will the Israeli army complete its withdrawal from Lebanon? Trump: "They are in the process of withdrawing. They are redeploying to other areas, and again, things are going very well for them. It was an excellent agreement signed with Lebanon, and they are in the process of redeploying."
Nir Dvori
As we published in Ulpan Friday: The Lebanese Army entered Randouria over the weekend and yesterday and today the villages of Peron and Serifa. This morning the IDF withdrew from Awtar al-Gharbiyeh, which is inside the Yellow Line - this is the first withdrawal.
Live: Lebanese army supplants Israeli troops in southern area - as withdrawal plan under way
Live: Lebanese army supplants Israeli troops in southern area - as withdrawal plan under way
The pilot for the IDF withdrawal from southern Lebanon begins | Al Jazeera reports: Lebanese army forces have begun entering the village of Zutar al-Gharbia in the Nabatia region. Lebanese army engineering teams are working to scan the streets in the village and locate explosive devices and remnants of the IDF left behind.
Israeli army claims to have begun a pilot program for partial withdrawal from Lebanon The Israeli army claimed on Monday that it had begun a pilot program and, based on it, had handed over control of three villages in southern Lebanon to the Lebanese Armed Forces. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
Live: Israeli military launches "pilot program" for partial withdrawal in Lebanon
Israeli withdrawal from experimental areas in southern Lebanon begins, coinciding with the Lebanese president's visit to Washington. Report by: Kamel Lotfi
Live: Israeli forces yet to withdraw from southern Lebanese town, says official
The Israeli military has launched its first troop withdrawal operation in a "pilot area" in southern Lebanon.
The IDF's withdrawal from the pilot areas in southern Lebanon is expected to begin tomorrow [in reply to: The US announced the start of implementation of the agreement between Israel and Lebanon: The IDF will withdraw from the villages of Peron, Zarifa and Wather al-Gharbia in the south of the country - and Lebanese army soldiers will replace them on the ground]
The IDF's withdrawal from the pilot areas in southern Lebanon is expected to begin tomorrow [in reply to: The US announced the start of implementation of the agreement between Israel and Lebanon: The IDF will withdraw from the villages of Peron, Zarifa and Wather al-Gharbia in the south of the country - and Lebanese army soldiers will replace them on the ground]
Axios: The Israeli army's withdrawal from the experimental areas in southern Lebanon will begin tomorrow, Tuesday.
Axios: The Israeli army's withdrawal from the experimental areas in southern Lebanon will begin tomorrow, Tuesday.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.